In a continuation of its previous projection, the Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank's GDPNow model maintains its growth forecast for the U.S. economy in the fourth quarter of 2025 at a steady 4.2%. Updated on November 21, 2025, this latest forecast suggests steadfast economic stability and resilience as the quarter progresses.
The consistent forecast highlights an era of economic confidence despite potential market fluctuations and global economic challenges. The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model, known for its real-time tracking of the economy's pulse, projected this rate earlier and currently sees no sign of slowdown. This stability signals continued momentum in the U.S. economic engine, paving the path for stakeholders to navigate the last leg of the year with sustained optimism.
Analysts and investors will continue to keep close watch as the year draws to a close, assessing how this steady prediction might play out in broader economic contexts and affect future policy decisions. With the model's historical accuracy, many in the financial sector look forward to the actual fourth-quarter results reflecting this optimistic forecast in January 2026.
