Mexico’s economic activity returned to growth in the fourth quarter of 2025, with gross domestic product expanding 0.8% quarter-on-quarter, according to data updated on 30 January 2026. The quarterly performance marks a clear turnaround from the previous period, when GDP contracted by 0.3% in the third quarter of 2025.
The comparison is based on quarter-on-quarter changes, with the latest reading reflecting output in the fourth quarter relative to the third quarter, while the earlier -0.3% figure showed the change in the third quarter compared with the second quarter of 2025. The shift from contraction to expansion suggests the Mexican economy gained momentum at the end of 2025, helping to stabilize growth prospects after a weak mid-year performance.
Analysts and market participants are likely to view the positive Q4 reading as a sign of improved economic resilience, although the sustainability of this recovery will depend on developments in domestic demand, external conditions, and policy settings in the months ahead.
