The Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow model is projecting U.S. real GDP growth of 3.7% for the third quarter of 2026, unchanged from its previous estimate. According to the latest update on 1 October 2026, the nowcast for Q3 has stabilized at 3.7%, signaling that incoming data have not materially altered the model’s view of near-term economic momentum.
The fact that the projection is holding at the same 3.7% level indicates a consistent assessment of U.S. growth prospects as the quarter draws to a close. While GDPNow is not an official forecast, it is closely watched by markets and analysts as a high-frequency gauge of how new data are shaping expectations for the headline GDP figure that will eventually be released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. For now, the Atlanta Fed’s model is pointing to steady, solid growth in the U.S. economy in the third quarter of 2026.
