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Deník obchodníka:::2025-10-23T09:15:14

GBP/USD

GBPUSD Intraday Analysis: Trading at 1.33474, GBPUSD on the 15-minute chart is presenting a narrative of contained energy following a prior directional move. The market structure has shifted from a clear impulsive advance to a phase of consolidation, indicating a momentary equilibrium between buyers and sellers. This congestion zone, established over the last several hours, is critical as it builds liquidity and will ultimately fuel the next significant leg. The session high near 1.3360 has acted as a firm ceiling, with price being rejected from that level on multiple tests, solidifying it as a key resistance area. Conversely, the recent swing low around 1.3325 has served as a springboard for bounces, marking it as a provisional support floor. The price action within this range is becoming increasingly compressed, suggesting a buildup of potential energy that typically precedes a volatility expansion. A decisive break and close above 1.3360 would signal a resumption of the prior bullish momentum, likely targeting the next liquidity pocket near 1.3380. In this scenario, the old resistance would become new support, and a measured move higher could unfold. Conversely, a breakdown below the 1.3325 support level would indicate that the sellers have overwhelmed the buyers, potentially triggering a retracement towards the more significant structural support zone near 1.3300. The current market dynamic is one of anticipation, waiting for a clear signal from this tight range. For a trader, this is a time for disciplined observation rather than impulsive action. The key is to monitor the reaction at these defined boundaries. A false breakout above 1.3360 that quickly reverses could trap late buyers and lead to a sharp move down, while a similar failure below 1.3325 could squeeze sellers. The forward-looking view remains binary until a breakout is confirmed. A cautious approach involves waiting for the market to show its hand, respecting the key structural levels at 1.3360 and 1.3325, and being prepared to adapt quickly to the resulting momentum, whether it carries upward for a continuation or downward for a deeper retracement.
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