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Deník obchodníka:::2026-01-28T01:18:19

EUR/CHF

I am looking at the EUR/CHF charts right now. The market is showing a strong recovery attempt after a deep plunge earlier this week. I see the pair trading near 0.9178 as buyers try to reclaim the 0.9200 handle. The Swiss Franc remains a powerhouse of stability, but the Euro is finding some fresh air today. I am following the data to see if this bounce has enough strength to become a real trend change. It looks like the market is testing the floor before the next big move. The global economy is currently navigating a period of intense transformation in early 2026, which has turned the Swiss Franc into the primary focus for safety-seeking investors worldwide. I notice that while the European Central Bank has successfully kept the Euro stable, the Swiss Franc is benefiting from a massive diversification trend as traders move away from the US Dollar amid trade tariff uncertainties. This structural change is why the EUR/CHF price has remained under pressure for much of January, and I am also seeing a wave of speculation regarding the Swiss National Banks willingness to intervene. I believe this fundamental shift is the most important factor to watch, especially since recent market projections suggest the SNB might tolerate levels below 0.92 unless the appreciation becomes too rapid. I am keeping a very close watch on the upcoming Eurozone inflation data and Swiss economic sentiment reports, as these catalysts will drive the volatility needed for the next major leg. I have analyzed the recent H4 candlestick patterns to get a clearer picture of the immediate trend, observing that the price recently touched a significant multi-year low of 0.9172 before finding support. I am currently watching a Bullish Piercing pattern on the H4 chart, where the current candle is attempting to engulf the previous bearish momentum. I also identified a strong support area between 0.9195 and 0.9215 that was recently breached but is now being re-tested from below as resistance. My strategy involves watching for a strong H4 close back above 0.9220 as a signal that the recovery is genuine and aimed at the 0.9260 resistance.

EUR/CHF

The technical architecture of the EUR/CHF market remains complex, but I am now refining my entry using the M15 chart for maximum precision. I observe that on the M15 timeframe, the pair has stabilized around 0.9178, forming a small base above the recent low of 0.9172. I have applied the Fibonacci retracement tool on the M15 chart from the recent swing high of 0.9314 to the recent low of 0.9172 to pinpoint high-probability reaction zones for an entry. My refined entry point is now set at 0.9185, which perfectly aligns with the 23.6 percent Fibonacci level and a recent M15 breakout zone where the 50-period Moving Average is currently trending. For this high-frequency setup, I am watching the MACD on the M15 chart for a bullish crossover above the zero line, which would signal that the upward momentum is accelerating. I have placed my primary stop-loss at 0.9165 to stay clear of the recent lows, and my first intraday exit is the 38.2 percent Fibonacci level at 0.9226, followed by a major target at the 61.8 percent level near 0.9260. I am seeing increasing volume on the M15 bullish candles as we approach the session peak, suggesting that some short-covering is taking place. This M15 structure provides a much tighter risk-to-reward ratio than the higher timeframes, allowing me to scale into the position as the recovery confirms. I will remain disciplined, watching for a 15-minute bullish pin bar at the 0.9185 level to trigger my buy orders. The combination of this micro-level precision and the broader H4 recovery attempt creates a powerful synergy for today’s trading session. I am fully prepared to capitalize on this bounce as the market attempts to push the Euro back toward the 0.9300 level before the week ends. By using the 161.8 percent Fibonacci extension at 0.9340 as a long-term target, I am ensuring my exit strategy accounts for a full trend reversal should the SNB decide to surprise the market with an intervention. I am also monitoring the 50-day and 200-day Moving Averages, which are currently trending downward, suggesting that while this M15 bounce is profitable, the overall trend remains a "sell the rallies" environment until the 0.9315 level is reclaimed on a daily basis.
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