FX.co ★ EUR/JPY
Deník obchodníka:::
EUR/JPY
EURGBPm M30 Technical Analysis 1. Overall Market Structure The EURGBPm M30 chart shows a clear transition from an earlier consolidation phase into a strong bullish expansion, followed by a period of consolidation near the upper price region. At the beginning of the visible structure, price is moving around the 0.85550–0.85580 area with several fluctuations and relatively limited directional momentum. The market then creates important SWING LOW points around the 0.85500 and 0.85475–0.85490 regions. From the second major swing low, buyers begin to gain control and price starts producing stronger upward candles. The most important change occurs around 26 Aug, when price leaves the previous range and begins a powerful bullish displacement. This upward movement takes price through the 0.85580–0.85615 region and eventually toward 0.85755–0.85790. The chart therefore clearly shows a strong BULLISH TREND during the middle portion of the structure. However, after reaching the upper region, price does not continue expanding aggressively. Instead, it begins consolidating around 0.85700–0.85730 and gradually produces weaker upward movement. This means the current structure should be viewed as bullish in its major expansion but more balanced and corrective near the current price of approximately 0.85716. 2. SWING LOW The SWING LOW markings on the chart provide an important foundation for understanding the bullish move. The first significant swing low appears around 24 Aug near the 0.85500 region, followed by another deeper swing low around 25 Aug close to 0.85475. The second swing low is particularly important because price reacts strongly from this area instead of continuing downward. After touching the lower region, the market starts building a recovery structure and gradually moves upward. The reaction from this swing low eventually becomes the starting point of the stronger bullish expansion visible on 26 Aug. This tells us that the lower area acted as a strong demand region during the displayed price action. The swing low therefore becomes an important structural reference if price moves lower again. As long as the market remains above this broader lower region, the previous bullish expansion cannot simply be ignored. A return toward the swing-low area would represent a much deeper retracement and would require careful observation of whether buyers again produce strong rejection and bullish displacement. 3. BOS The chart contains clearly marked BOS levels around the 0.85580–0.85590 region. These Breaks of Structure are important because they show that price was no longer respecting the previous sideways structure and began shifting upward. Before the bullish expansion, price repeatedly moved within a relatively narrow range, creating temporary highs and lows without sustained continuation. Once the market broke above these previous structural levels, the character of price movement changed. The candles became more directional and the distance covered by the bullish move increased considerably. The second BOS is particularly significant because it occurs immediately before the strong upward displacement toward 0.85615 and then higher. This indicates that the bullish movement was not simply a small retracement inside the earlier range; it was accompanied by a meaningful structural expansion. The BOS levels can therefore be used as reference points for judging the strength of the bullish structure. If price remains above the broken structure, the bullish interpretation remains supported. A decisive return below these levels, especially with strong bearish candles, would indicate that the earlier bullish structure is losing strength. 4. STRUCTURE BREAK The marked STRUCTURE BREAK is one of the most important points on your chart because it connects the earlier consolidation with the subsequent bullish expansion. Price approaches the previous structural level and then breaks through it with strong bullish candles. Immediately after this break, the market accelerates upward and begins forming a much clearer directional movement. The structure break is therefore supported by displacement rather than occurring through slow and overlapping candles. This distinction is important because the chart shows a clear difference between the earlier sideways price action and the aggressive movement after the break. Following the structure break, price moves through approximately 0.85600 and continues toward the 0.85650–0.85700 region. The market then reaches the upper area around 0.85755. This sequence suggests that buyers were able to convert the previous range into a bullish expansion. However, the structure break should not be treated as an unlimited bullish signal. Once price reaches the upper region and begins consolidating, the focus shifts from the original break toward whether the market can establish another higher high. 5. BULLISH TREND The BULLISH TREND marked on the chart is clearly visible through the strong upward sequence from the lower FVG areas toward the upper price region. After the market establishes the swing low around 0.85475–0.85500, price begins creating progressively stronger bullish candles. The move from approximately 0.85560 toward 0.85615 and then toward 0.85700 is particularly important because the candles show increasing directional momentum. The bullish trend eventually takes price toward the 0.85755–0.85790 area. During this expansion, buyers demonstrate the ability to overcome intermediate resistance levels and push price higher. The trend therefore has a strong bullish character in the central portion of the chart. However, the later candles around 27 Aug show that this momentum has slowed. Price remains elevated but begins moving sideways rather than continuing aggressively upward. Therefore, the bullish trend remains an important part of the chart's overall structure, but the current phase should be considered a consolidation after bullish expansion rather than another fresh impulsive leg. 6. FAIR VALUE GAP — Upper FVG The first marked FVG around approximately 0.85580–0.85610 is positioned directly underneath the strong bullish expansion. This Fair Value Gap represents an imbalance created during the rapid upward movement. Its location is particularly important because it sits close to the structural area that price broke before accelerating higher. If price retraces deeply from the current region, this FVG becomes one of the first major areas to monitor for a bullish reaction. A controlled retracement into this zone followed by rejection would indicate that buyers are still defending the imbalance created during the original bullish displacement. On the other hand, if price moves through the entire FVG with strong bearish candles and begins closing below it, the bullish structure would become weaker. The chart therefore presents this FVG as an important intermediate support area. It should not automatically be considered guaranteed support; the actual reaction of the candles inside and around the zone is more important. The stronger the bullish rejection from this FVG, the more credible a continuation of the original bullish structure becomes. 7. FAIR VALUE GAP — Lower FVG The second FVG marked around approximately 0.85535–0.85545 is positioned below the upper FVG and above the ORDER BLOCK (DEMAND ZONE). This lower imbalance is significant because it sits within the region from which the market developed its bullish expansion. The two FVGs together create a layered support structure beneath the current price. If EURGBPm begins a deeper correction from 0.85716, price could first move toward the upper FVG before potentially reaching this lower FVG. A strong bullish reaction from either zone would suggest that buyers are attempting to defend the bullish structure. However, if price passes through the upper FVG and continues downward into the lower FVG without meaningful rejection, attention should shift toward the demand order block beneath it. The lower FVG is therefore important as an intermediate zone between current price and the deeper demand area. Its reaction can help determine whether the current consolidation develops into a normal bullish retracement or turns into a larger bearish correction.