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Jurnal Pedagang:::2026-03-04T00:37:18

EUR/JPY

EUR/JPY Techincal Analysis The EUR/JPY pair is currently trading within a tight intraday range on the 1-hour timeframe, with price action respecting clearly defined technical boundaries. Immediate support is located at 182.655, while resistance stands at 183.264. These levels are shaping short term momentum and offering structured opportunities for both breakout and range based traders. 1H Technical Structure On the 1-hour chart, EUR/JPY is consolidating after a recent upward push, signaling temporary equilibrium between buyers and sellers. The support level at 182.655 has acted as a reliable demand zone, with price bouncing multiple times from this region. Each rejection from this area suggests buyers are stepping in aggressively, preventing deeper pullbacks. On the upside, resistance at 183.264 has capped bullish attempts. Price has tested this level but struggled to produce a decisive close above it. This indicates supply pressure and short term exhaustion near the highs. A clean break and sustained move above 183.264 could shift sentiment firmly in favor of the bulls. Indicator Analysis Momentum indicators on the 1-hour timeframe are showing mixed but slightly bullish signals. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering near the 55–60 zone, reflecting moderate bullish momentum without entering overbought territory. This leaves room for further upside if buying pressure strengthens. The 50-period moving average is currently trending slightly upward, supporting the short term bullish structure. Meanwhile, the 100-period moving average remains relatively flat, highlighting the broader consolidation phase. As long as price holds above the shorter-term moving average, bulls maintain a minor technical edge. MACD is showing a narrowing histogram, suggesting slowing momentum. However, it remains above the zero line, which keeps the broader intraday bias slightly positive. A bullish crossover near support could reinforce upside continuation, while a bearish crossover near resistance may signal another rejection.

EUR/JPY

Possible Scenarios Bullish Scenario: A confirmed breakout above 183.264, supported by strong candle closes and rising momentum indicators, could trigger an extension toward higher intraday targets. Break and retest confirmation would strengthen the bullish case. Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold above 182.655 would expose the pair to deeper corrective movement. A decisive break below support, combined with bearish indicator alignment, could accelerate downside pressure. Conclusion EUR/JPY remains range bound on the 1H timeframe between 182.655 support and 183.264 resistance. Traders should watch for a breakout from this structure, as it will likely determine the next short term directional move. Until then, disciplined range strategies may remain effective.
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