EUR/USD Technical Analysis and Trading Strategies for March 2, 2025 Overview: As of March 2, 2025, the EUR/USD pair is trading near the 1.0380 mark, reflecting a recent decline influenced by a strengthening US dollar. This movement aligns with higher US Treasury yields and a rebound in the USD index to 106.50. Technical Analysis: The EUR/USD pair has been unable to surpass the 1.0530 resistance level, leading to a downward trajectory toward the ascending trendline connecting higher lows from January to February 2025, situated around 1.0380. Support Levels: 1.0380: Current support at the ascending trendline. 1.0300: 2025 lows, serving as a significant support zone. 1.0250: Additional support below the 2025 lows. Resistance Levels: 1.0530: Immediate resistance; a break above could signal bullish momentum. 1.0620: Subsequent resistance level following a breach of 1.0530. 1.0700: Further resistance indicating a stronger bullish trend. Market Sentiment: Recent data indicates a decline in German GFK consumer confidence to -24.7 from -22.6, suggesting weakening consumer sentiment in the Eurozone's largest economy. Conversely, the US dollar has strengthened, supported by rising Treasury yields. Trading Strategies: For Buyers: Entry Point: Consider initiating long positions if the price sustains above the 1.0380 support level, targeting the 1.0530 resistance. Stop-Loss: Place stop-loss orders below 1.0350 to mitigate potential downside risks. Target Levels: Aim for 1.0530 initially; a successful breach could open pathways to 1.0620 and 1.0700. For Sellers: Entry Point: Short positions may be viable if the pair breaks below the 1.0380 support, aiming for the 1.0300 level. Stop-Loss: Set stop-loss orders above 1.0400 to protect against unexpected upward movements. Target Levels: Focus on 1.0300; further decline could lead to 1.0250. Risk Management: Given the current market volatility, traders should employ strict risk management practices. Utilizing stop-loss orders and limiting position sizes can help manage potential losses. Conclusion: The EUR/USD pair is navigating a critical support zone around 1.0380. Traders should monitor this level closely, as a breach could signal further bearish momentum, while a rebound might indicate a potential recovery toward resistance levels. Staying informed on economic indicators from both the Eurozone and the US is essential for making well-informed trading decisions. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading forex involves significant risk, and individuals should consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.Technical analysis 02 March 2025 EUR/USD Daily The pair was trading at 1.11865 when inflation remained at the same level. It did not come out with a decline, as many expected. The Federal Reserve began to reduce interest rates, and the pair began to decline, as I assumed that there would be no further growth of the pair, given that inflation is not decreasing; the pair began to decline. In addition, Trump was elected president, and the pair reached 1.01, and this is already parity, and I assumed that further strengthening of the dollar is impossible without rising inflation. Inflation stagnated and remained at 3.3%. I assume that the pair will return to the marks where it was trading when inflation was stagnating; these will be marks of 1.07883.
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