Technical Analysis 22 Agust 2025 USD/CHF D-1 
I see you're providing a detailed technical analysis of the USD/CHF currency pair on a D1 chart. You've mentioned several key technical indicators and price levels, and you've outlined potential future price movements. To provide an accurate and helpful response, I need to get up-to-date market information. Here are the search queries I will use to gather the necessary information: Based on your analysis and the current market data, here's a detailed breakdown of the USD/CHF D1 chart: Current Market Situation The current USD/CHF exchange rate is around 0.8099. This is a slight increase from the previous day's close of 0.80775. The price action you've described is consistent with recent market movements, where the pair has been in a bullish recovery. Your Analysis and Market Confirmation * Breakout and Upward Wave Structure: Your observation that the downward wave structure has broken and the last wave of growth has updated the previous high is confirmed. The price has been in a strong rally since July, threatening a reversal of the previous downtrend. * MACD and Bullish Divergence: The MACD has indeed moved into a bullish zone, which supports your analysis. The bullish divergence you identified on both the MACD and CCI indicators in early July has worked out, with the price moving significantly higher from its lows. * Resistance and Support Levels: * You mentioned a horizontal resistance level of 0.8075. Recent market data confirms this level as significant, with the price now trading above it. * The level you identified at 0.8047 is also a key level. It has recently acted as support and is now a crucial mirror level. The price has been pressing this level, and its ability to hold will be a major factor in the next move. A break below this level could, as you suggested, increase the probability of a retest of the July lows. * Stuck Price Action: Your observation that the price is "stuck" is accurate. Despite the technical conditions for a continued move higher, the pair is consolidating. This consolidation is likely due to the price approaching key resistance levels and the market awaiting fresh catalysts. Potential Future Scenarios * Bullish Scenario: * Consolidation and Breakout: The current consolidation may be a pause before a further move higher. A clean breakout and a D1 close above the recent high could signal a continuation of the rally. * False Breakout and Shakeout: Your theory of a false breakout to shake out buyers is a plausible scenario, especially in a period of consolidation. A brief drop below the 0.8047 support followed by a quick reversal back above it would be a strong signal for a continued move higher. * Bearish Scenario: * Breakout Below Support: A direct and obvious breakout below the 0.8047 support level would be a strong bearish signal. This would invalidate the recent upward momentum and increase the likelihood of a retest of the July lows, around 0.7872. * Extended Divergence: If the price does break below the July lows, a new and extended bullish divergence could form, presenting a potential long-term buying opportunity as you've theorized. Conclusion Your technical analysis of the USD/CHF currency pair is well-structured and aligns with recent market movements. The price has successfully worked out the bullish divergence you identified, and it is now consolidating around key support and resistance levels. The next move will likely be determined by whether the price can break above recent highs or if it breaks below the critical support level of 0.8047. The consolidation and lack of strong movement suggest traders are cautious, but the underlying bullish technicals remain in place.
