FX.co ★ GBP/USD

Technical Analysis GBP USD The Pound Sterling (GBP) trades higher against a majority of its currency peers on Wednesday. The British Pound gains even as traders have raised bets supporting more interest rate cuts by the Bank of England (BoE) in the remaining year. According to a report from Reuters, money markets are pricing in a 46-basis-points (bps) interest rate reduction by the BoE in the remaining two monetary policy meetings this year. BoE dovish bets escalated after the release of the United Kingdom (UK) labor market figures for the three months ending in August. On Tuesday, the data showed that the ILO Unemployment Rate rose further to 4.8% and Average Earnings Excluding Bonus cooled down to 4.7% on year, the lowest level seen since May 2022. Cooling job demand and hopes of a slowdown in inflation expectations bolstered wagers for more interest rate cuts this year. Additionally, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey has also acknowledged slowing job market conditions while speaking at an event hosted by the Institute of International Finance in Washington on Tuesday. Bailey stated that the latest job data supports his argument that the UK labor market is slowing and inflationary pressures are cooling down. However, Bailey didn’t comment on the monetary policy outlook. Contrary to market expectations, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned caution for more BoE interest rate cuts, citing that price pressures in the UK economy are likely to remain the highest this year and in 2026 among Group of Seven (G7) economies. The IMF has expected inflation to average around 3.4% and 2.5% on a yearly basis in 2025 and 2026, respectively. Going forward, investors will focus on the monthly Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and factory data for August, which will be released on Thursday.

The Pound Sterling extends its recovery move to near 1.3370 against the US Dollar on Wednesday. The GBP/USD pair advances strongly after attracting bids near the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) around 1.3270. However, the outlook for the Cable remains uncertain amid the Head and Shoulder chart formation on a daily timeframe. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) finds cushion near 40.00. A fresh bearish momentum would emerge if the RSI falls below that level. Looking down, the August 1 low of 1.3140 will act as a key support zone. On the upside, the psychological level of 1.3500 is the next key barrier.