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Trader Journals:::2025-10-15T11:02:29

XAU/USD, GOLD

Technical Analysis Gold Gold hits fresh record highs above $4,200 amid broad-based US Dollar weakness. Fed's Powell reiterated his concern about employment, paving the path for further interest rate cuts. XAU/USD's rally looks overextended, but there is no sign of reversal as of yet. Gold is trading higher for the fifth consecutive day on Wednesday, attempting to confirm the breach of the $4,200. The precious metal is trading at $4,193 at the time of writing, after having hit a fresh all-time high at $4,218 earlier on the day. Bullion is drawing support from a softer US Dollar on Wednesday, following dovish comments by the Fed Chairman Jerome Powell at a speech in Philadelphia. Powell reiterated that the labour market deterioration is more concerning than inflation right now, which practically confirms a rate cut in October and raises expectations of another one in December. The technical picture shows Gold skyrocketing. The pair has rallied an eye-watering 27% in less than two months, which normally leads to a correction. The 4-hour RSI is way within overbought territory. So far, however, downside attempts remain limited. Above the $4,200 level, the 172.2% Fibonacci extension of the October 1.14 rally is at $4,235, and the 161.8% Fibonacci extension of the same cycle is at $4,300; these are the following potential targets.

XAU/USD, GOLD

Downside attempts remain contained at the previous all-time high near $4170 (Tuesday's high). Further down, Tuesday’s low at $4,090 and the October 8, 9 highs at $4.050 area would come into focus. Gold extends its impressive rally to a new record-high above $4,200 on Wednesday as markets assess the latest headlines surrounding the US-China relations. The US economic calendar will feature weekly Mortgage Applications and NY Empire State Manufacturing Index data for October. Policymakers from major central banks will be delivering speeches throughout the day as well. US President Donald Trump said late Tuesday that they were considering terminating some trade ties with China, causing the US Dollar (USD) to weaken against its rivals.
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