Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis Date of Analysis: 24 November 2025 Timeframe: 15 minute (intraday) 
The XAUUSD 15 minute chart displays a clear multi day bullish trend that began after a strong demand zone was established around the 3,950 to 3,970 area in the preceding week. Price has since produced a series of higher highs and higher lows, culminating in a fresh all time high near 4,100 earlier in the current session. A significant change of character (CHoCH) occurred when price broke and closed above the previous supply zone at approximately 4,066 to 4,070, converting that former resistance into new support. This level is currently marked by a 15 minute bullish order block (the last down close candle before the aggressive upward displacement) and coincides with the 50% retracement of the most recent impulsive leg. The chart also shows two clear internal range liquidity pools: one below the Asian session low (4,022 to 4,025) and another above the previous all time high (4,100). External range liquidity rests above 4,100 (equal highs) and below the major swing low at 3,950. Price is experiencing a deep retracement following the strong rally that took out the 4,100 liquidity. The decline has already swept the internal range liquidity below the Asian low (4,022.260 volume profile node) and is now approaching the premium order block and equilibrium level at 4,066 to 4,070. Volume profile analysis confirms high volume nodes at 4,066 and 4,040, indicating institutional interest and potential reversal zones. The presence of an inverted market maker buy model (IDM) is evident: price ran stops above 4,100 (external range liquidity), reversed sharply, and is now seeking liquidity below the range before a potential continuation higher. Momentum indicators on the lower panel show extreme oversold conditions, while the price action has formed a 15 minute fair value gap between 4,070 and 4,080 that remains unfilled, adding confluence for a bullish resolution. Trade Direction: Long (Buy) Entry Trigger: Bullish 15 minute order block mitigation at 4,066 to 4,070 combined with a displacement above the most recent lower high (4,085) on a 5 minute or 15 minute closing basis. Preferred confirmation includes a market structure shift on the 5 minute chart (higher high and higher low) or a clear bullish engulfing/CHOCH candle that closes inside or above the fair value gap. Optimal Entry Zone: 4,068 to 4,074 (inside the order block and 50 to 61.8% Fibonacci retracement cluster). Stop Loss: 12 to 15 pips below the order block, preferably beneath the most recent swing low at 4,054 (maximum risk zone 4,052). This placement invalidates the setup if the internal range liquidity below 4,040 is taken, confirming bearish continuation instead. Take Profit Targets: Target 1: 4,100.00 (previous all time high and external range liquidity) to Risk to Reward 1:2.2 Target 2: 4,120.00 (1.618 extension of the current impulsive leg) to Risk to Reward 1:4 Target 3 (Swing): 4,150.00+ (measured move projection and psychological level) Position sizing should not exceed 0.5 to 1% of account equity given gold’s elevated volatility and the proximity to all time highs. Trailing stop methodology: move to breakeven after Target 1 is reached, then trail using the 15 minute swing lows or the 21 EMA. The primary bullish invalidation occurs if price produces a confirmed break and close below 4,040 with increased volume, which would target the next major demand zone at 3,980 to 3,950. However, current order flow, volume profile confluence, and the presence of an unfilled fair value gap strongly favor the bullish continuation scenario toward 4,120 to 4,150 in the coming 24 to 48 hours, provided the 4,066 to 4,070 order block holds as support. Traders are advised to wait for clear 5 minute/15 minute confirmation before execution to avoid premature entries during the ongoing liquidity sweep.
