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Trader Journals:::2026-05-07T03:24:19

USD/JPY

USDJPY Intraday Forecast: We are currently analyzing the price movement of the USD/JPY currency pair. Observing the overall trend on the daily chart, and switching to shorter timeframes such as the 4-hour chart, it is clear that a range-bound market is developing just above the 156.105 support level. This range-bound market, coupled with an uptrend, suggests a bullish bias. However, we do not intend to buy at this stage. We will wait until the range-bound market falls below the 156.115 level, or we anticipate a correction to this level to use as a selling resistance line. Analyzing the Heikin-Ashi candlestick readings and the CCI and RSI indicators for this currency pair, we can see that the market is losing buying power and shifting momentum towards selling. Unlike traditional candlesticks, Heikin-Ashi candlesticks provide adjusted or averaged price values, simplifying technical analysis and improving the accuracy of decision-making. The CCI Channel indicator identifies support and resistance lines based on double-smoothed moving averages, clearly indicating the boundaries of the currency's movement.

USD/JPY

Furthermore, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a promising oscillator and shows promising results when combined with the Heikin-Ashi indicator. Looking at the chart for this currency pair, the red candlesticks indicate a strengthening downtrend. The price has fallen below the upper boundary of the channel and rebounded from the peak towards the midline. At the same time, the downtrend of the RSI supports a sell signal, but has not yet reached oversold levels. Therefore, this is a favorable time to execute a profitable short position with a target of reaching the lower boundary of the channel at 155.717.
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