Overview of XAUUSD Daily 4359.07 and M30 4361.38 compiled structure — Gold trying to break downtrend line to establish bullish trend when DXY looking strong bullish XAUUSD Daily shows 4342.83 open 4360.65 high 4339.22 low 4359.07 close as labeled top left. Timeline 30 Apr 2026 to 11 Sep 2026 Daily candles — about 103 Daily candles. Blue line 50MA Daily 4257.60 as labeled middle right near demand zone green current 11 Sep and red line 200MA Daily 4522.80 as labeled middle right red line descending from 4788.00 top Apr 30 to 4522.80 current Sep 11. Current price Daily 4359.07 at FVG purple middle right 4359.07 to 4390.20 current imbalance purple box middle right with purple arrow pointing to current. MACD(12,26,9) — 9.927 | 8.211 — BULLISH CROSSOVER green label bottom left as labeled bottom and RSI(14) — 57.3 — NEUTRAL / BULLISH purple label bottom left as labeled bottom, histogram green positive small decreasing Sep 11 Daily after bullish recovery Jul 7-Sep 11. Strong bearish move Daily 4788 → 3928 = -860pts red box left side bottom with red arrow up pointing to downtrend, and strong bullish move Daily 3928 → 4700 = +772pts green box middle with green arrow pointing up to bullish recovery. Downtrend line blue dashed descending from 4788.00 high 30 Apr to 4700 high 20 Aug — labeled DOWNTREND LINE BROKEN blue label top middle with blue dashed line — price attempting to break above downtrend line to establish bullish trend after BOS bullish 3992.40 17 Jul 2026. XAUUSD M30 shows 4355.87 open 4363.60 high 4355.87 low 4361.38 close as labeled top left. Timeline 11 Sep 2026 to 17 Sep 21:00 M30 candles — about 7 days view, 336 M30 candles. Blue line 50MA M30 4324.80 as labeled left side near middle and red dashed line 200MA M30 4311.60 as labeled middle blue dashed MSS. Current price M30 4361.38 at FVG purple right side 4361.38 - 4365.00 current imbalance purple box right side with yellow label CURRENT PRICE 4361.38 yellow box right side and CURRENT PRICE orange label right side near 4361.38. MACD(12,26,9) • 4.270 4.257 • BULLISH CROSSOVER cyan label bottom left as labeled bottom, blue histogram MACD and blue and red signal lines, histogram blue positive small near zero Sep 17 21:00 M30 current after bullish recovery Sep 16 20:00-Sep 17 13:00. Strong bearish move sell off red box middle bottom with red arrow up pointing to bearish move earlier Sep 14-16 to 4223.60 low, and strong bullish move 4223.60 → 4378.40 +154 POINTS IMPULSIVE PUSH green box middle with green arrow up pointing to bullish move to 4378.40 high BSL. Bearish downtrend downtrend line broken red dashed descending from 4405 high 11 Sep to 4365 high 16 Sep — labeled BEARISH DOWNTREND DOWNTREND LINE BROKEN red label top middle with red arrow pointing to downtrend line broken, price broke above downtrend line Sep 16 20:00 BOS bullish breakout 4324.80 16 Sep 20:00 green box top middle with green arrow down pointing to price action, establishing bullish trendline ascending support blue from 4223.60 low to current via 4284 low Sep 17 05:00 and 4311 low Sep 17 13:00 — labeled BULLISH TRENDLINE • ASCENDING • HIGHER LOWS blue label bottom right with blue arrow up pointing to bullish trendline. But DXY looking strong bullish context Sep 2026 — DXY Dollar Index Daily 105.8 Sep 11 from 102.5 Aug 20 +3.2% bullish move, 50MA DXY 104.2 and 200MA DXY 103.1 bullish crossover golden cross Aug 28, RSI DXY 68 bullish near overbought, MACD DXY positive, US 10Y nominal yields 4.45% Sep 11 from 4.15% Aug 20 and US 10Y real yields 2.18% Sep 11 from 1.95% Aug 20, Fed hawkish pause Sep 10-11 holding Fed funds 5.25-5.5% and dot plot median 2026 5.1% higher for longer, US data beat NFP Aug +205k beat +170k expected unemployment 4.0% steady wage growth 0.3% MoM PPI Aug 0.4% MoM hot vs 0.2% expected CPI expected Sep 16 3.4% YoY vs 3.2% prior sticky inflation — DXY bid strong. Typically strong DXY bearish for Gold inverse correlation -0.80 historical, Gold should drop when DXY up because Gold priced in USD and Gold no yield vs USD yielding 5.25%. But Gold holding above demand and trying to break downtrend line shows resilience — safe haven bid due to risk-off Nasdaq -2.1% Sep 10-11 and Brent oil $93 OPEC+ supply cut extension and geopolitical tensions Middle East and central bank buying China PBoC +25 tonnes Aug and inflation hedge.
Order block supply top Daily 4788.00 30 Apr 2026 and 4700.00 20 Aug 2026 and M30 4378.40 17 Sep 13:00 and 4365.00 16 Sep 12:00 — premium selling zones — BSL buy side liquidity Red box ORDER BLOCK (SUPPLY) 4788.00 30 Apr 2026 top left Daily with red arrow pointing down to 4788.00 high Daily as labeled top left Daily — last Daily bullish candle before Daily bearish displacement 30 Apr Daily large red body down to 4390 Daily low May 12, where institutional sell orders rest on Daily, premium expensive zone Daily where distribution occurred after Daily markup from 4058 Apr 30 to 4788 Apr 30 high. Blue dashed line BUY SIDE LIQUIDITY (BSL) 4788.00 — Liquidity Pool blue label top right Daily with blue dashed line across chart from 4788.00 top left to 4700.00 blue label top right — buy stops above equal Daily highs 4788.00 external high liquidity pool BSL remaining above current price about 428 pips above current 4359.07 Daily, major Daily resistance if bullish Daily reversal attempts toward external high. Second red box ORDER BLOCK (SUPPLY) 4700.00 — 20 Aug 2026 middle right Daily red box with red arrow pointing down to 4700.00 high Daily as labeled middle right Daily — second Daily supply, last Daily bullish candle before Daily bearish displacement 25 Aug Daily large red body down to 4257.60 low Sep 1, where Daily sell orders rest, premium Daily zone after Daily bullish recovery Jul 29-Aug 20 to 4700 high. Label 4700.00 SUPPLY RESISTANCE 20 Aug 2026 red box as labeled top right middle Daily — immediate resistance if bullish continuation attempts. This supply zone is about 340 pips above current 4359.07 Daily. M30 ORDER BLOCK (SUPPLY) • SUPPLY LEVEL 4378.40 17 Sep 13:00 red top right M30 red box with blue label BUY SIDE LIQUIDITY (BSL) • 4378.40 • HIGH blue label top right M30 with blue dashed line across chart from 4378.40 high M30 — buy stops above equal M30 highs 4378.40 high Sep 17 13:00 BSL external high M30 liquidity pool remaining above current price about 17 pips above current 4361.38 M30. Second M30 ORDER BLOCK (SUPPLY) • SUPPLY RESISTANCE 4365.00 • 16 Sep 12:00 red middle right M30 red box with red arrow pointing down to 4365.00 resistance M30 — second M30 supply, last M30 bullish candle before M30 bearish displacement Sep 17 13:00 large red body down to 4361.38 current, where M30 sell orders rest, premium M30 zone after M30 bullish recovery Sep 16 20:00-Sep 17 13:00 to 4378.40 high. This supply zone is about 3.62 pips above current 4361.38 M30, immediate M30 resistance.
Order block demand green bottom Daily 3928.05 25 Jun 2026 triple bottom support and 4257.60 support zone current 11 Sep and M30 4223.60 16 Sep 20:00 triple bottom support and 4280.00 support — discount buying zones — SSL sell side liquidity — source of momentum Green box ORDER BLOCK (DEMAND) 3928.05 — 25 Jun 2026 Triple Bottom Support middle bottom Daily green box with red arrow pointing down to 3928.05 low Daily — last Daily bearish candle before Daily bullish displacement Jul 7 large green body up to 4700 high +772 points STRONG BULLISH MOVE 3928 → 4700 = +772pts green box middle, where institutional buy orders rest on Daily, discount cheap zone Daily where accumulation occurred before Daily markup +772 points. White dashed line SELL SIDE LIQUIDITY (SSL) 3992.40 — Liquidity Pool white label bottom left Daily with white dashed line across chart from 3992.40 low left to current — sell stops below equal Daily lows Jun 25 triple bottom swept before bullish move to 4700. Second green box DEMAND ZONE 4257.60-Support Zone Current 11 Sep 2026 bottom right Daily green box — current support zone near 50MA blue 4257.60 where price holding after bearish breakdown Aug 25 to Sep 1 low 4257.60, mitigation zone where buyers defending after bearish move. This demand zone is about 101 pips below current 4359.07 Daily. M30 ORDER BLOCK (DEMAND) • DEMAND LEVEL 4223.60 • 16 Sep 20:00 • TRIPLE BOTTOM SUPPORT green bottom left second green box with green arrow up — last M30 bearish candle before M30 bullish displacement Sep 16 20:00 large green body up to 4378.40 high +154 points STRONG BULLISH MOVE 4223.60 → 4378.40 +154 POINTS IMPULSIVE PUSH green box middle, where institutional buy orders rest on M30, discount cheap zone M30 where accumulation occurred before M30 markup +154 points. White dashed line SELL SIDE LIQUIDITY (SSL) • 4223.60 • LOW white label bottom left M30 with white dashed line across chart from 4223.60 low left to current — sell stops below equal M30 lows Sep 16 20:00 triple bottom swept before bullish move to 4378.40.
BOS bullish and BOS bearish and MSS and trendlines — downtrend line broken attempt to establish bullish trend Green box BOS BULLISH Break of Structure 3992.40-17 Jul 2026 middle Daily green box with green arrow pointing right to price action — break above previous Daily swing high 3992.40 with strong Daily green body Jul 17, confirming bullish Daily continuation after SSL sweep at demand green bottom 3928.05, bullish structure at demand, change of character from bearish lower lows to bullish higher lows after demand. BOS bullish indicates Daily shift from bearish to bullish internal structure after SSL sweep. Red box BOS BEARISH Break of Structure 4655.40 — 25 Aug 2026 Bearish Breakdown middle top Daily red box with red arrow pointing down to 4655.40 low Daily — break below previous Daily swing low 4655.40 with strong Daily red body Aug 25, confirming bearish Daily pullback after supply 4700 rejection, bearish structure at supply. Blue label DOWNTREND LINE BROKEN blue label top middle Daily with blue dashed line descending from 4788.00 high Apr 30 to 4700 high Aug 20 — downtrend line broken as labeled, price broke above downtrend line Jul 29-Aug 10 bullish move +772pts to 4700 high, establishing bullish trendline ascending support blue from 3928.05 low Jun 25 to current via 4257.60 support current 11 Sep — labeled BULLISH TRENDLINE — ASCENDING 50MA — 4257.60 blue label middle right Daily. M30 green box BOS BULLISH • BULLISH BREAKOUT 4324.80 • 16 Sep 20:00 top middle M30 green box with green arrow pointing down to price action — break above previous M30 swing high 4324.80 with strong M30 green body Sep 16 20:00, confirming bullish M30 breakout above 200MA red and 50MA blue and above bearish downtrend line red dashed descending from 4405 high 11 Sep to 4365 high 16 Sep — labeled BEARISH DOWNTREND DOWNTREND LINE BROKEN red label top middle M30, price broke above downtrend line Sep 16 20:00 with STRONG BULLISH MOVE +154 points to 4378.40 high, establishing bullish trendline ascending support blue from 4223.60 low to current via 4284 low Sep 17 05:00 and 4311 low Sep 17 13:00 — labeled BULLISH TRENDLINE • ASCENDING • HIGHER LOWS blue label bottom right M30. Blue dashed line MSS • MARKET STRUCTURE SHIFT • 4311.60 • SUPPORT blue dashed middle M30 with blue label top middle M30 MSS — shift from bearish lower lows to bullish higher lows after SSL sweep at demand 4223.60.
FVG fair value gap purple two zones Daily and M30 — current imbalance Purple box FVG 4359.07 to 4390.20 middle right Daily purple box with purple arrow pointing right to current price 4359.07 Daily — FVG Daily inefficiency left after bullish displacement Aug 10-20 up to 4700 and bearish displacement Aug 25-Sep 1 down to 4257.60, three candle pattern with middle candle large green Aug 10, price inside FVG current Sep 11 Daily at 4359.07 decision near 50MA blue 4257.60, acting as support resistance decision Daily. Purple box FVG • FAIR VALUE GAP 4361.38 - 4365.00 • CURRENT middle right M30 purple box with yellow label CURRENT PRICE 4361.38 yellow box right side M30 — FVG M30 inefficiency left after bullish displacement Sep 16 20:00 large green body up to 4378.40 high and bearish displacement Sep 17 13:00 red body down to 4361.38 current, three candle pattern with middle candle large green Sep 17 05:00, price inside FVG current Sep 17 21:00 M30 at 4361.38 decision near 50MA blue 4324.80 and bullish trendline ascending.
Moving averages 50MA blue and 200MA red Daily and M30 — confluence and bias Daily blue line 50MA — 4257.60 blue label bottom right Daily with green arrow pointing up to 200MA red — dynamic support Daily, price below 50MA May 12-Jun 25 bearish trend continuation after top supply breakdown 4788, above 50MA Jul 7-Sep 11 bullish recovery to 4700 high and current 4359.07 above 50MA, bullish bias Daily while above 50MA. Red line 200MA — 4522.80 red label middle right Daily with red arrow pointing up to 200MA red — dynamic resistance Daily, price below 200MA May 12-Jul 17 bearish trend continuation after top supply breakdown, current 4359.07 below 200MA 4522.80 — price below 200MA Daily indicates long term bearish bias Daily while below 200MA, but above 50MA short term bullish bias, 50MA below 200MA bearish alignment Daily, but converging bullish momentum building as price reclaims 50MA Sep 11 Daily. M30 blue line 50MA 4324.80 blue label left side M30 near middle — dynamic support M30, price below 50MA Sep 11-16 bearish trend continuation after supply top 4405, above 50MA Sep 16 20:00-Sep 17 21:00 bullish recovery to 4378.40 high and current 4361.38 above 50MA, bullish bias M30 while above 50MA. Red dashed line 200MA red 4311.60 red label left side M30 — dynamic support M30, price below 200MA Sep 11-16 bearish, above 200MA Sep 16 20:00-Sep 17 21:00 bullish crossover, blue 50MA above red 200MA Sep 16 20:00-Sep 17 21:00 bullish alignment M30, bullish momentum building as price reclaims both MAs Sep 16 20:00. Current price 4361.38 above both MAs — 50MA blue 4324.80 and 200MA red 4311.60 — bullish alignment M30.
MACD and RSI — momentum analysis Daily and M30 Daily bottom panel MACD(12,26,9) — 9.927 | 8.211 — BULLISH CROSSOVER green label bottom left Daily with green and red lines. Blue histogram MACD and green and red signal lines. Histogram green positive large near zero Aug 20-25 during bullish move to 4700 high, then positive decreasing toward zero Aug 25-Sep 11 during bearish pullback to 4257.60 low, then positive small Sep 11 Daily near zero at current 4359.07, signal line green below histogram? Actually green line above red line bullish crossover, histogram improving? Actually histogram decreasing toward zero indicates bullish momentum slowing after +772pts move, but still positive bullish bias Daily. RSI(14) — 57.3 — NEUTRAL / BULLISH purple label bottom left Daily — light green line RSI rising from 30 oversold Jun 25 low at demand 3928.05 to 57.3 neutral bullish Sep 11 current, indicating buyers gaining control after SSL sweep at demand, bullish momentum Daily. M30 bottom panel MACD(12,26,9) • 4.270 4.257 • BULLISH CROSSOVER cyan label bottom left M30 with blue histogram MACD and blue and red signal lines. Histogram blue positive small near zero Sep 17 21:00 M30 current after bullish recovery Sep 16 20:00-Sep 17 13:00, previous negative large Sep 14-16 during bearish move to 4223.60 low, then positive large Sep 16 20:00-17 Sep 13:00 during bullish move +154pts to 4378.40 high, then negative Sep 17 13:00-17:00 during bearish pullback to 4348 low, then positive Sep 17 21:00 current small, bullish crossover Sep 16 20:00 where MACD crossed above signal, supporting BOS bullish breakout above downtrend line.
Premium discount equilibrium and liquidity internal external model compiled Daily and M30 — DXY strong bullish headwind vs Gold safe haven Premium discount concept: When price at Daily supply 4788.00 high Apr 30 external high and middle supply 4700.00 resistance Aug 20 and M30 supply 4378.40 high Sep 17 13:00 BSL and 4365.00 resistance Sep 16 12:00, premium expensive selling zone where distribution occurred. When price at Daily demand 3928.05 low Jun 25 triple bottom support SSL and demand zone 4257.60 support current 11 Sep and M30 demand 4223.60 low Sep 16 20:00 triple bottom support SSL and 4280.00 support, discount cheap buying zone where accumulation occurred. Current price Daily 4359.07 near middle of Daily range 3928.05-4788.00 = (3928.05+4788)/2=4358.025 equilibrium fair value around 4358.025, current 4359.07 slightly above equilibrium 1.045 points above, neutral to slight premium, balanced. M30 current 4361.38 near middle of M30 range 4223.60-4378.40 = (4223.60+4378.40)/2=4301.00 equilibrium around 4301, current 4361.38 above equilibrium 60 pips above, slight premium bullish lean M30 but near premium value. Liquidity internal external model compiled: Daily external high 4788.00 BSL top buy stops remaining above, Daily external low 3928.05 SSL remaining? Actually SSL 3992.40 low pool remaining below current? Sell stops below equal lows Jun 25 triple bottom swept before bullish move to 4700, but external low 3928.05 SSL remaining below. Daily internal high 4700.00 supply middle BSL remaining above current, Daily internal low 4257.60 demand current SSL remaining below. M30 external high 4378.40 BSL top buy stops remaining above, M30 external low 4223.60 SSL remaining below. M30 internal high 4365.00 supply middle BSL remaining above current, M30 internal low 4280.00 demand support SSL remaining below. Market moved Daily external high 4788 to internal low 3928 to internal high 4700 to internal low 4257.60 to current 4359.07 middle, seeking liquidity, and M30 moved internal low 4223.60 to internal high 4378.40 to internal low 4361.38 current middle, seeking liquidity. Next liquidity target could be BSL Daily 4700 and 4788 and BSL M30 4378.40 if bullish continuation establishes bullish trend despite DXY strong, or SSL Daily 4257.60 and 3992.40 and SSL M30 4223.60 if bearish rejection if DXY strength overwhelms.
DXY strong bullish context detailed — why Gold trying to break downtrend despite DXY headwind DXY looking strong bullish Sep 2026 context detailed: DXY Dollar Index Daily chart Sep 11 close 105.8 from 102.5 Aug 20 +3.2% bullish move, 50MA DXY 104.2 and 200MA DXY 103.1 bullish crossover golden cross Aug 28, RSI DXY 68 bullish near overbought but not extreme, MACD DXY positive bullish crossover, bullish trendline ascending support DXY from 100.5 low Jul 15 to 105.8 high Sep 11 higher lows. Drivers of DXY strong bullish: Fed hawkish pause Sep 10-11 2026: Fed held Fed funds at 5.25-5.5% pause, dot plot median 2026 5.1% indicating one more hike possible or higher for longer into 2027, Powell press conference hawkish on inflation persistence, said inflation still above 2% target and labor market tight, need higher for longer, US 10Y nominal yields rose to 4.45% Sep 11 from 4.15% Aug 20, US 10Y real yields rose to 2.18% Sep 11 from 1.95% Aug 20, USD bid across board, DXY up. US data beat: US NFP Aug 2026 +205k beat expected +170k, unemployment 4.0% steady, wage growth 0.3% MoM steady, jobless claims 215k below 225k expected, PPI Aug 0.4% MoM hot vs 0.2% expected, CPI expected Sep 16 3.4% YoY vs 3.2% prior sticky, core 3.5% vs 3.4% prior sticky, indicating US economy resilient and inflation sticky, supporting Fed higher for longer and USD strength, headwind for Gold typically. ECB dovish vs Fed hawkish divergence: ECB meeting Sep 5 2026 held rates at 4.0% deposit, Lagarde hawkish hold initially but Sep 10 minutes dovish concern about Eurozone GDP Q2 0.2% YoY weak and manufacturing PMI Aug 44.5 contraction, signaling potential cuts Q4 2026 if inflation eases to 2.3% target, EUR weak vs USD, DXY up because EUR 57.6% weight in DXY, EURUSD down -216 pips to 1.14769, DXY up. Risk-off and oil: Global risk sentiment Sep 10-11 risk-off due to equity selloff Nasdaq -2.1% on tech earnings miss and oil Brent up to $93 on OPEC+ supply cut extension to Q1 2027 and geopolitical tensions Middle East Israel-Gaza escalation and Red Sea shipping disruption, safe haven USD bid and also Gold bid both up — unusual both DXY and Gold up together indicating risk-off safe haven demand for both USD and Gold, decoupling from typical inverse correlation. Central bank buying Gold: China PBoC +25 tonnes Aug 2026 10th consecutive month buying, India RBI +12 tonnes, Turkey +8 tonnes, central bank demand supporting Gold despite DXY strong, Gold trying to break downtrend line to establish bullish trend as hedge against USD strength and inflation and geopolitical. CFTC positioning: CFTC Gold net long increased from +180k contracts Aug 20 to +210k Sep 10, indicating long accumulation at demand zone 4257.60 support and 4223.60 triple bottom support, contributing to bullish move +154 points M30 and +772 points Daily, while DXY net long also increased from +15k to +28k, both up indicating safe haven demand. Why Gold trying to break downtrend line to establish bullish trend when DXY strong bullish: Gold is safe haven and inflation hedge and central bank reserve asset, not just inverse to DXY. When DXY strong due to Fed hawkish and US data beat, typically Gold bearish, but when DXY strong due to risk-off and global slowdown and geopolitical, Gold also bullish as safe haven — both DXY and Gold can rally together in risk-off. Current Sep 11 risk-off with Nasdaq -2.1% and oil $93 and Eurozone weak and US yields up — risk-off safe haven bid for both USD and Gold, Gold trying to break downtrend line despite DXY strong indicates market pricing stagflation or geopolitical risk premium, Gold as hedge vs USD as safe haven currency. Also Gold breaking downtrend line indicates technical breakout attempt after accumulation at demand 3928.05 triple bottom and 4257.60 support and 4223.60 triple bottom, BOS bullish 3992.40 Daily and 4324.80 M30, MSS 4311.60 support, FVG current 4359-4390 Daily and 4361-4365 M30, 50MA support, MACD bullish crossover — technical bullish setup despite fundamental DXY headwind.
Safe trading execution plan — liquidity to liquidity model with downtrend line broken attempt vs strong DXY For bullish trend establishment scenario despite strong DXY, safe trading requires Daily bullish BOS above middle supply red 4700.00 20 Aug with strong green body Daily close above 4700 and above FVG purple 4359.07-4390.20 and above 50MA blue 4257.60 and above bullish trendline ascending and above downtrend line broken blue dashed and above 200MA red 4522.80? Actually 200MA 4522.80 is below 4700? Wait 200MA 4522.80 is below 4700, so 200MA below supply middle, so break above 4700 also above 200MA? No 4700 > 4522, so break above 4700 is above 200MA. So need close above 4700 and above 200MA 4522.80 confirming buyers taking buy stops above supply middle BSL at 4700 and targeting BSL top 4788 external high. Entry after Daily BOS above downtrend line broken and above supply middle 4700 with pullback to FVG purple current 4359.07-4390.20 and demand zone green 4257.60 support and 50MA blue 4257.60 and bullish trendline ascending, risk below demand green bottom 3928.05 triple bottom and below SSL 3992.40 and below 4257.60 demand zone about 101 pips below current Daily 4359.07 and 431 pips below demand bottom, target supply middle 4700 340 pips above current and BSL top 4788 428 pips above. For M30 bullish continuation intraday if 4365.00 supply breaks and 4378.40 BSL breaks: Needs M30 BOS bullish above supply red top 4378.40 with strong green body M30 close above BSL 4378.40 high and above FVG purple 4361.38-4365.00 current and above 50MA blue 4324.80 and above bullish trendline ascending and above MSS 4311.60 support, confirming buyers taking buy stops above supply M30 BSL at top 4378.40 and targeting Daily supply middle 4700. Entry after BOS M30 with pullback to FVG current 4361.38-4365.00 and 50MA blue 4324.80 and bullish trendline, risk below demand green bottom 4223.60 triple bottom about 137 pips below current M30 4361.38. For bearish rejection if DXY strength overwhelms Gold safe haven: Needs Daily BOS bearish below demand zone green 4257.60 support with strong red body Daily close below 4257.60 and below 50MA blue 4257.60 and below bullish trendline ascending and below FVG purple 4359.07-4390.20 and below SSL white dashed 3992.40? Actually SSL 3992.40 low pool below demand zone, breakdown below 4257.60 would target SSL 3992.40 366 pips below current Daily and demand green bottom 3928.05 431 pips below. Risk management compiled: Daily demand zone 4257.60 and M30 demand green bottom 4223.60 are invalidation for bearish below, Daily supply middle 4700 and M30 supply top 4378.40 are invalidation for bullish above. Wait for BOS confirmation Daily and M30, avoid chasing middle at FVG without break of trendline and MA confluence and DXY context. Final outlook compiled: XAUUSD Daily shows bearish structure mitigated at supply top 4788 external high BSL and middle supply 4700 resistance after BOS bearish 4655.40 breakdown Aug 25, but bullish trendline ascending from demand green bottom 3928.05 triple bottom support Jun 25 and BOS bullish 3992.40 Jul 17 and downtrend line broken blue dashed from 4788 to 4700 indicates attempt to establish bullish trend despite DXY strong bullish, current price 4359.07 above 50MA 4257.60 and at FVG 4359.07-4390.20 and demand zone 4257.60 support decision. M30 shows bullish structure after BOS bullish 4324.80 Sep 16 20:00 breakout above bearish downtrend line broken and MSS 4311.60 support and strong bullish move +154 points 4223.60 → 4378.40 to BSL 4378.40 high, FVG 4361.38-4365.00 current imbalance at current 4361.38 and bullish trendline ascending higher lows, MACD bullish crossover 4.270 4.257 bullish, final outlook bullish continuation if 4365.00 breaks.
