The Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow model is estimating U.S. real GDP growth at 3.6% for the third quarter of 2026, unchanged from its previous reading. According to the latest update on 15 October 2026, the nowcast suggests that the U.S. economy maintained a solid, stable pace of expansion through the period.
The fact that the estimate has not moved from 3.6% indicates that recently released data have, on balance, confirmed earlier signals about the strength of activity in the third quarter. With no revision from the prior 3.6% reading, the model’s projection continues to point to resilient growth conditions in the United States as Q3 2026 data are finalized.
