Japan’s Coincident Indicator posted a strong month‑over‑month rebound at the start of 2026, rising to 2.5% in January from a revised -0.5% in December 2025, according to data updated on 9 March 2026. The shift marks a notable turnaround after the indicator had contracted at the end of last year.
The Coincident Indicator tracks current economic conditions, and the January reading suggests that Japan’s underlying activity has strengthened compared with the previous month. On a month‑over‑month basis, the latest figure reflects a clear improvement over December’s negative change, indicating that short‑term economic momentum has moved firmly back into positive territory.
The comparison is based on month‑over‑month changes: the January 2026 result is measured against December 2025, while the previous figure reflected December’s change relative to November 2025. This swing from -0.5% to 2.5% will be closely watched by market participants monitoring the trajectory of Japan’s real‑time economic performance into 2026.