The Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow model has slightly downgraded its estimate for U.S. economic growth in the second quarter of 2026, with the tracking forecast easing to 1.5% from a prior reading of 1.6%. The latest update was released on 28 July 2026.
The modest revision suggests that while the U.S. economy continues to expand, momentum remains subdued and broadly stable rather than accelerating. The 0.1 percentage point adjustment indicates only a marginal change in the incoming data flow, keeping expectations for second-quarter performance largely intact.
Investors and analysts closely monitor the GDPNow estimate as a high-frequency gauge of real-time economic activity. With the forecast now settled at 1.5% for the second quarter, markets may see the update as reinforcing a picture of moderate, steady growth rather than signaling a significant shift in the economic outlook.
