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Trader Journals:::2024-12-03T10:52:17

EUR/JPY

•••EUR/JPY: Today’s(December 3,2024) Market Update and Trading Insights••• The EUR/JPY pair stands at a pivotal point today, trading around 157.85 (Buy) and 157.82 (Sell). The pair has shown moderate upward momentum, underpinned by the latest developments in the Eurozone and Japan, but remains highly reactive to global market sentiment. ••Euro Fundamentals Driving the Scene The Euro holds steady following Eurozone inflation figures, which came in at 2.3%, with core inflation unchanged at 2.7%. This stability has eased pressure on the European Central Bank to push for aggressive monetary tightening, offering some breathing room for the currency. Additionally, PMI data from the services sector provided an unexpected boost, signaling resilience in a struggling economy. However, uncertainties surrounding growth prospects remain a cloud over sustained bullish momentum. ••Yen’s Mixed Signals The Japanese Yen continues to grapple with its role as a safe haven, currently pressured by the Bank of Japan’s ultra-accommodative policies. Despite Japan’s robust GDP growth, inflation has yet to meet targets that would prompt significant policy adjustments. Today, the Yen showed signs of weakness amid a slightly risk-on global environment, yet remains sensitive to any geopolitical or economic shocks that could shift sentiment.

EUR/JPY

••Technical Outlook and Market Trends Technically, EUR/JPY trades above its 50-day simple moving average, indicating sustained bullish momentum. Immediate support lies at 157.00, a psychological level, while stronger support is seen at 155.50. On the upside, resistance levels are marked at 158.40 and 159.80, with the latter representing a significant barrier. Momentum indicators provide mixed signals; the RSI is near 70, warning of overbought conditions, while the MACD suggests that bullish momentum persists but could weaken. The pair’s ascending channel, formed over the past month, is intact. A break below the channel’s lower boundary would signal a bearish shift. ••Risk Considerations Key risks today include unexpected data releases, geopolitical developments, and potential policy shifts from the ECB or BoJ. Traders should remain cautious, as the market remains highly volatile, with global risk sentiment playing a crucial role in driving the pair’s short-term movements.
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