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Trader Journals:::2026-06-23T00:47:16

CL/Crude Oil

WTI Crude Oil Technical Analysis WTI Crude Oil on the daily timeframe is showing a strong bearish structure after failing to sustain gains above the $90.00 area. Price is currently trading around $73.60 following a sharp decline from the highs near $105.00–$110.00. The market has been creating lower highs and lower lows for several weeks, confirming that sellers remain in control of the broader trend. One of the most important signals on the chart is the bearish Market Structure Shift (MSS), which occurred after the previous uptrend lost momentum and price began breaking key swing lows. Since that shift, every recovery attempt has faced selling pressure, resulting in another leg lower. I can see that the recent decline has pushed oil close to the important support zone around $69.00–$70.00, where buyers may attempt to defend prices. However, the overall trend remains weak, and the market has not yet shown a convincing bullish reversal signal. The volume profile also supports the bearish outlook because increased trading activity accompanied the major downward moves, indicating strong participation from sellers. Higher volume during declines often reflects confidence in the prevailing trend, and that is currently favoring the downside.

CL/Crude Oil

Looking ahead, the $69.00–$70.00 area will be a critical level for crude oil. If buyers manage to hold this support region, a corrective recovery toward $80.00 and possibly the $83.00–$84.00 zone could develop. I believe traders will closely monitor volume behavior around current levels because a rise in buying volume would be needed to support any meaningful rebound. Without stronger participation from buyers, rallies may remain temporary and attract fresh selling interest. If the support zone fails to hold, the bearish trend could accelerate and expose oil to further declines toward $60.00 and potentially the $50.00 area over the medium term. I also notice that recent candles continue to close below key resistance levels, showing that market sentiment remains cautious. From a technical perspective, the bearish MSS remains valid until price can establish a stronger recovery and reclaim higher levels. For now, sellers maintain the advantage, and the combination of weak price action and heavy volume during declines suggests that downward pressure may continue. Traders should therefore watch both the support region and volume activity carefully, as these factors are likely to determine the next major move in crude oil prices.
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