It's possible that more stimulus will be needed
- If negative rates are in the toolbox, that will be very important
- There's no evidence that negative rates will hurt bank profits, possible that the current structure of UK banking system could lead to a less-positive outcome
- My decisions on stimulus will depend on the outlook at the time of voting
- All else equal, looser monetary policy can help the economy recover faster
- Experiences of other countries suggest negative rates effective
- We have a very large degree of spare capacity
- Resurgence in virus likely to mean a significant loss in jobs
- Even if UK vaccinates quickly, a slower rollout in trading partners could weigh in UK
- Speed of rebound will depend on the speed that savings are released
- QE more effective to offset disruption rather than providing net additional stimulus
Further Development
Analyzing the current trading chart of EUR/USD, I found that the sellers got exhausted today and the upside rotation would be probably to correct strong downside movement from recent few days.
1-Day relative strength performance Finviz :
Based on the graph above I found that on the top of the list we got VIX and Soybean meal today and on the bottom Ethanol and Platinum,
EUR is negative on the list but with potential for the upside movement.
Key Lvels:
Resistance levels: 1,2183 and 1,2200.
Support level: 1,2140
