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Economic Calendar
Business Confidence rates the current level of business conditions. It helps to analyze the economic situation in the short term. A rising trend indicates an increase in business investment which may lead to higher levels of output.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the EUR, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the EUR.
Italian Consumer Confidence measures the level of consumer confidence in economic activity. It is a leading indicator as it can predict consumer spending, which plays a major role in overall economic activity. Higher readings point to higher consumer optimism.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the EUR, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the EUR.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the change in the price of goods and services from the perspective of the consumer. It is a key way to measure changes in purchasing trends.
The impact on the currency may go both ways, a rise in CPI may lead to a rise in interest rates and a rise in local currency, on the other hand, during recession, a rise in CPI may lead to a deepened recession and therefore a fall in local currency.
A measure that examines the weighted average of prices of a basket of consumer goods and services, such as transportation, food and medical care. The CPI is calculated by taking price changes for each item in the predetermined basket of goods and averaging them; the goods are weighted according to their importance. Changes in CPI are used to assess price changes associated with the cost of living.
The Trade Balance measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods sand services, from and to Non-Eu countries, over the reported period. A positive number indicates that more goods and services were exported than imported. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the EUR , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the EUR.
This economic calendar event refers to a public speaking engagement by one of the Members of the Bank of England's (BoE) Financial Stability Committee, Sarah Breeden. These engagements may include speeches, panel discussions or testimony before parliament.
When BoE Breeden speaks, her remarks can provide valuable insight into both the current state of the UK economy and the Bank's monetary policy stance. Market participants, such as traders and investors, pay close attention to her speeches, as they may contain hints about potential shifts in monetary policy which can have a significant impact on financial markets and currency exchange rates.
The figures displayed in the calendar represent the average yield on the Buoni del Tesoro Poliannuali or BTP auctioned.
Italian BTP bonds have maturities of five, ten, fifteen and thirty years. Governments issue treasuries to borrow money to cover the gap between the amount they receive in taxes and the amount they spend to refinance existing debt and/or to raise capital.
The yield on the BTP represents the return an investor will receive by holding the treasury for its entire duration. All bidders receive the same rate at the highest accepted bid.
Yield fluctuations should be monitored closely as an indicator of the government debt situation. Investors compare the average rate at auction to the rate at previous auctions of the same security.
The figures displayed in the calendar represent the average yield on the Buoni del Tesoro Poliannuali or BTP auctioned.
Italian BTP bonds have maturities of three,five, ten, fifteen and thirty years. Governments issue treasuries to borrow money to cover the gap between the amount they receive in taxes and the amount they spend to refinance existing debt and/or to raise capital.
The yield on the BTP represents the return an investor will receive by holding the treasury for its entire duration. All bidders receive the same rate at the highest accepted bid.
Yield fluctuations should be monitored closely as an indicator of the government debt situation. Investors compare the average rate at auction to the rate at previous auctions of the same security.
The Production Price Index (PPI) for all commodities for South African consumption. All indices are based on producer prices at the point of production in the case of commodities produced in South Africa.The Producers Price Index has two types of indexes. First, the output indexes which measure changes in the prices received by producers. Second, the input indexes which measure changes in the cost of production (excluding labour and capital costs). Inputs indexes: The input indexes measure price changes in costs of production excluding labour and depreciation costs. The input indexes cover the prices of: Materials, Fuels and electricity, Transport and communication, Commission and contract services, Rent and lease of land, buildings, vehicles and plant,Business services, Insurance premiums less claims. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the ZAR , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the ZAR.
The Production Price Index (PPI) for all commodities for South African consumption. All indices are based on producer prices at the point of production in the case of commodities produced in South Africa.The Producers Price Index has two types of indexes. First, the output indexes which measure changes in the prices received by producers. Second, the input indexes which measure changes in the cost of production (excluding labour and capital costs). Inputs indexes: The input indexes measure price changes in costs of production excluding labour and depreciation costs. The input indexes cover the prices of: Materials, Fuels and electricity, Transport and communication, Commission and contract services, Rent and lease of land, buildings, vehicles and plant,Business services, Insurance premiums less claims. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the ZAR , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the ZAR.
The Data showes the monthly change in the total turnover of the Italian industry.
The Data showes the monthly change in the total turnover of the Italian industry.
Retail sales data represents total consumer purchase from retail stores. It provides valuable information about consumer spending which makes up the consumption part of GDP. The most volatile components like autos, gas prices and food prices are often removed from the report to show more underlying demand patterns as changes in sales in these categories are frequently a result of price changes. It is not adjusted for inflation. Spending on services is not included. Rising retail sales indicate stronger economic growth.
Retail sales data represents total consumer purchase from retail stores. It provides valuable information about consumer spending which makes up the consumption part of GDP. The most volatile components like autos, gas prices and food prices are often removed from the report to show more underlying demand patterns as changes in sales in these categories are frequently a result of price changes. It is not adjusted for inflation. Spending on services is not included. Rising retail sales indicate stronger economic growth.
An index that measures and tracks the changes in price of goods in the stages before the retail level. Wholesale price indexes (WPIs) report monthly to show the average price changes of goods sold in bulk, and they are a group of the indicators that follow growth in the economy. Although some countries still use the WPIs as a measure of inflation, many countries, including the United States, use the producer price index (PPI) instead.
The Interest Rate Decision is a critical economic event wherein the central bank of Mozambique, Banco de Moçambique, determines the benchmark interest rate that will be applied to the national economy. This decision is a key tool for the central bank to control inflation, influence economic activity, and stabilize the national currency. The interest rate directly affects borrowing costs for consumers and businesses, as well as savings rates, which in turn impacts overall economic growth. Changes in the interest rate can also influence exchange rates and investment flows. The decision is closely monitored by investors, financial analysts, and policymakers, as it provides insights into the central bank's economic outlook and monetary policy strategy. It is an essential tool for managing economic performance and ensuring financial stability within the country.
Bank Lending measures the change in the total value of outstanding bank loans issued to consumers and businesses. Borrowing and spending are closely correlated with consumer confidence. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the BRL , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the BRL.
FX Reserves measures the foreign assets held or controlled by the country's central bank. The reserves are made of gold or a specific currency. They can also be special drawing rights and marketable securities denominated in foreign currencies like treasury bills, government bonds, corporate bonds and equities and foreign currency loans.
FX Reserves measures the foreign assets held or controlled by the country's central bank. The reserves are made of gold or a specific currency. They can also be special drawing rights and marketable securities denominated in foreign currencies like treasury bills, government bonds, corporate bonds and equities and foreign currency loans.
The Unemployment Rate measures the percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the BRL, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the BRL.
The Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Prices release measures the changes in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers for the purpose of consumption, excluding food and energy. Prices are weighted according to total expenditure per item. It measures price change from the perspective of the consumer. It is a key way to measure changes in purchasing trends and inflation.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments is the net current-production income of organizations treated as corporations in the NIPA´s. These organizations consist of all entities required to file Federal corporate tax returns, including mutual financial institutions and cooperatives subject to Federal income tax; private noninsured pension funds; nonprofit institutions that primarily serve business; Federal Reserve banks; and federally sponsored credit agencies. With several differences, this income is measured as receipts less expenses as defined in Federal tax law. Among these differences: Receipts exclude capital gains and dividends received, expenses exclude depletion and capital losses and losses resulting from bad debts, inventory withdrawals are valued at replacement cost, and depreciation is on a consistent accounting basis and is valued at replacement cost using depreciation profiles based on empirical evidence on used-asset prices that generally suggest a geometric pattern of price declines. The taxes are measured on an accrual basis, net of applicable tax credits. Profits after tax is profits before tax less profits tax liability.It consists of dividends and undistributed corporate profits. Dividends is payments in cash or other assets, excluding the corporations´ own stock, that are made by corporations located in the U.S & abroad to stockholders who are U.S. residents.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the annualized change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy. It is the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary indicator of the economy's health.
Actual > Forecast = Good for currency Frequency: Released monthly. There are 3 versions of GDP released a month apart - Advance, second release and Final. Both the advance the second release are tagged as preliminary in the economic calendar.
The GDP Price Index measures the annualized change in the price of all goods and services included in gross domestic product.It is the broadest inflationary indicator.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
GDP Sales, also known as the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) value of sales, is a key economic indicator that reflects the total value of goods and services produced and sold by a country over a specific period of time. This economic calendar event not only measures the overall health of an economy, but it also provides valuable insights into consumer spending habits, business investments, and government expenditures.
A higher than expected GDP Sales figure is generally seen as a positive sign for the economy, indicating that it is growing and prospering. On the other hand, a lower than expected figure can suggest a contraction in the economy, which may lead to concerns about a potential recession. As a result, investors and policymakers closely monitor GDP Sales data to assess the overall economic outlook and make informed decisions on monetary policy and investment strategies.
The Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Prices release measures the changes in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers for the purpose of consumption. Prices are weighted according to total expenditure per item. It measures price change from the perspective of the consumer. It is a key way to measure changes in purchasing trends and inflation.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
Real Consumer Spending measures the inflation adjusted amount of money spent by households in the US economy.
The spending includes durables, such as washing machines, and non durables, such as food. It is also known as consumption, and is measured monthly.
John Maynard Keynes, the famous British economist, considered consumer spending to be the most important determinant of short-term demand in an economy.
A higher than expected number should be taken as positive to the USD, while a lower than expected number as negative.
The Average Weekly Earnings report is a significant economic indicator for Canada. It measures the average income, including overtime, of employees in the country on a weekly basis. The earnings information is presented by sector, allowing for detailed evaluations of trends in different areas of the economy.
Higher earnings potentially signal positive growth in the economy, suggesting that businesses are doing well and can afford to pay higher wages. Meanwhile, a decrease may signal an economic slowdown. It is heavily used by analysts and policy makers for planning and forecasting. However, it should be noted that this indicator does not account for inflation and changes in the number of hours worked.
The Current Account index measures the difference in value between exported and imported goods, services and interest payments during the reported month. The goods portion is the same as the monthly Trade Balance figure. Because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to pay for the nation's exports the data can have a sizable affect on the CAD.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the CAD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the CAD.
Continuing Jobless Claims measures the number of unemployed individuals who qualify for benefits under unemployment insurance.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD.
Initial Jobless Claims measures the number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week. This is the earliest U.S. economic data, but the market impact varies from week to week.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD.
Initial Jobless Claims measures the number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week.
As the week to week numbers might be very volatile, the four week moving average smooths the weekly data and used for the initial jobless claims metric A higher than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD.
The Unemployment Rate measures the percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the CLP, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the CLP.
The interest rate at which the private (sector) banks borrow rands from the SA Reserve Bank A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the ZAR , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the ZAR.
Prime overdraft rate (predominant rate) is th benchmark rate at which private banks lend out to the public.
Foreign Exchange Reserves are the foreign assets held or controlled by the country central bank. The reserves are made of gold or a specific currency. They can also be special drawing rights and marketable securities denominated in foreign currencies like treasury bills, government bonds, corporate bonds and equities and foreign currency loans. A higher than expected number should be taken as positive to the RUB, while a lower than expected number as negative
The National Association of Realtors (NAR) Pending Home Sales Report measures the change in the number of homes under contract to be sold but still awaiting the closing transaction, excluding new construction.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
The National Association of Realtors (NAR) Pending Home Sales Report measures the change in the number of homes under contract to be sold but still awaiting the closing transaction, excluding new construction. A higher than expected number should be taken as positive to the USD, while a lower than expected number as negative.
Monetary aggregates, known also as "money supply", is the quantity of currency available within the economy to purchase goods and services. Depending on the degree of liquidity chosen to define an asset as money, various monetary aggregates are distinguished: M0, M1, M2, M3, M4, etc. Not all of them are used by every country. Note that methodology of calculating money supply varies between countries. M2 is a monetary aggregate that includes all physical currency circulating in the economy (banknotes and coins), operational deposits in central bank, money in current accounts, saving accounts, money market deposits and small certificates of deposit. Excess money supply growth potentially can cause inflation and generate fears that the government may tighten money growth by allowing the interest rates to rise which in turn, lowers future prices. Money supply M2 represents total liquidity. It contains currency in circulation + time deposits + foreign currency denominated current deposits.
Gross National Product and Gross Domestic Product is the total value of the finished goods and services produced in the economy. It is not a precise measure of national economic well-being but expressed in volume (adjusted for inflation) it is the closest single number we have got to such a measure. It is the sum of Final expenditures, Export of goods and services, Imports of goods and services, Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation and Increases/Decreases(-) in stocks. The difference between Gross National Product and Gross Domestic Product is the Net Factor Income/Payments abroad. The data are seasonally and calender adjusted.
Gross National Product and Gross Domestic Product is the total value of the finished goods and services produced in the economy. It is not a precise measure of national economic well-being but expressed in volume (adjusted for inflation) it is the closest single number we have got to such a measure. It is the sum of Final expenditures, Export of goods and services, Imports of goods and services, Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation and Increases/Decreases(-) in stocks. The difference between Gross National Product and Gross Domestic Product is the Net Factor Income/Payments abroad. The data are seasonally and calender adjusted.
The Energy Information Administration (EIA) Natural Gas Storage report measures the change in the number of cubic feet of natural gas held in underground storage during the past week.
While this is a U.S. indicator it tends to have a greater impact on the Canadian dollar, due to Canada's sizable energy sector.
If the increase in natural gas inventories is more than expected, it implies weaker demand and is bearish for natural gas prices. The same can be said if a decline in inventories is less than expected.
If the increase in natural gas is less than expected, it implies greater demand and is bullish for natural gas prices. The same can be said if a decline in inventories is more than expected.
Fed Goolsbee Speaks is an economic event where the Federal Reserve representative, Austan Goolsbee, gives a speech or makes statements about the existing or upcoming economic and monetary policies of the United States. Austan Goolsbee is an esteemed economist who is known to address important aspects such as monetary policies, inflation, and interest rates. His speeches often move the market and give insights into the future decisions of the Federal Reserve.
Investors and traders keenly follow such events to understand the Fed's stance and adjust their investment strategies accordingly. Fed Goolsbee's words can lead to a wave of market volatility, creating trading opportunities. Therefore, it is an important event to keep a close watch on to understand the economic health and policy direction of the United States.
The Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes is an important economic calendar event for Mexico. It is a comprehensive record of the discussions and decisions made by the Bank of Mexico's governing board during their periodic monetary policy meetings. The document, which is released publicly, contains valuable insights into the central bank's perspective and stance regarding the country's current economic situation, as well as its forecasts and expectations for the future.
Investors, analysts, and policymakers pay close attention to this event, as it can provide indications on the direction of the country's monetary policy, including possible adjustments to the benchmark interest rate, known as the “target for the overnight interbank rate.” By analyzing the meeting minutes, market participants can gain a better understanding of the central bank's assessment of the economy's performance, inflation, and growth prospects, thereby assisting them in making more informed decisions.
The figures displayed in the calendar represent the rate on the Treasury Bill auctioned.
U.S. Treasury Bills have maturities of a few days to one year. Governments issue treasuries to borrow money to cover the gap between the amount they receive in taxes and the amount they spend to refinance existing debt and/or to raise capital. The rate on a Treasury Bill represents the return an investor will receive by holding the bill for its entire duration. All bidders receive the same rate at the highest accepted bid.
Yield fluctuations should be monitored closely as an indicator of the government debt situation. Investors compare the average rate at auction to the rate at previous auctions of the same security.
The figures displayed in the calendar represent the rate on the Treasury Bill auctioned.U.S. Treasury Bills have maturities of a few days to one year. Governments issue treasuries to borrow money to cover the gap between the amount they receive in taxes and the amount they spend to refinance existing debt and/or to raise capital. The rate on a Treasury Bill represents the return an investor will receive by holding the bill for its entire duration. All bidders receive the same rate at the highest accepted bid. Yield fluctuations should be monitored closely as an indicator of the government debt situation. Investors compare the average rate at auction to the rate at previous auctions of the same security.
The figures displayed in the calendar represent the yield on the Treasury Note auctioned.
U.S. Treasury Notes have maturities of two to ten years. Governments issue treasuries to borrow money to cover the gap between the amount they receive in taxes and the amount they spend to refinance existing debt and/or to raise capital. The rate on a Treasury Note represents the return an investor will receive by holding the note for its entire duration. All bidders receive the same rate at the highest accepted bid.
Yield fluctuations should be monitored closely as an indicator of the government debt situation. Investors compare the average rate at auction to the rate at previous auctions of the same security.
The Energy Information Administration's (EIA) Crude Oil Inventories measures the weekly change in the number of barrels of commercial crude oil held by US firms. The level of inventories influences the price of petroleum products, which can have an impact on inflation.
If the increase in crude inventories is more than expected, it implies weaker demand and is bearish for crude prices. The same can be said if a decline in inventories is less than expected.
If the increase in crude is less than expected, it implies greater demand and is bullish for crude prices. The same can be said if a decline in inventories is more than expected.
Distillate Fuel Production is an important economic indicator that provides insight into the overall energy production and demand in the United States. Distillate fuels, such as diesel and heating oil, are commonly used for a variety of purposes, including transportation, heating, and industrial processes. This data is closely monitored by both investors and policymakers as a measure of the health of the energy sector and the overall economy.
Increased distillate fuel production can result from rising demand due to economic growth, seasonal factors, or changes in energy policies. Conversely, decreased production can reflect weakening demand or supply disruptions. This indicator's fluctuations may impact the prices of distillate fuels, which in turn can affect consumer spending, inflation, and trade balances.
Distillate Fuel Production figures are typically released on a weekly basis by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), providing updated and relevant data for traders, investors, and businesses alike. Understanding the trends and patterns in this data can help inform decision-making processes and investment strategies.
The Energy Information Administration reports inventory levels of US crude oil, gasoline and distillates stocks. The figure shows how much oil and product is available in storage. The indicator gives an overview of US petroleum demand.