FX.co ★ Traders economic calendar. International economic events

The Atlanta Fed GDPNow is an economic event that provides a real-time estimate of the United States' gross domestic product (GDP) growth for the current quarter. It serves as a valuable indicator for analysts, policymakers, and economists looking to gauge the health of the American economy.

Created and maintained by the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, the GDPNow model utilizes a sophisticated algorithm that processes incoming data from official government sources. These sources include reports on manufacturing, trade, retail sales, housing, and other sectors, which allows the Atlanta Fed to update their GDP growth projections on a frequent basis.

As an essential benchmark for economic performance, the GDPNow forecast can significantly impact financial markets and influence investment decisions. Market participants often use the GDPNow forecast to adjust their expectations regarding monetary policies and various economic outcomes.

Non-financial public sector (National administration, state-owned companies and former provincial pension funds). Cash basis.

The Producer Price Index (PPI) measures average changes in prices received by domestic producers for their output. It is a leading indicator of consumer price inflation, which accounts for the majority of overall inflation. Usually a rise in PPI will lead in a short time to a rise in CPI and therefore to a rising interest rates and rising currency. during recession, the producers are not able to roll over the rising cost of material to the consumer, so a rise in PPI will not be rolled over to the consumer but will lower the profitablility of the producer and will deepen the recession, that will lead to a fall in local currency.

The Producer Price Index (PPI) measures average changes in prices received by domestic producers for their output. It is a leading indicator of consumer price inflation, which accounts for the majority of overall inflation. Usually a rise in PPI will lead in a short time to a rise in CPI and therefore to a rising interest rates and rising currency. during recession, the producers are not able to roll over the rising cost of material to the consumer, so a rise in PPI will not be rolled over to the consumer but will lower the profitablility of the producer and will deepen the recession, that will lead to a fall in local currency.

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the annualized change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy. It is the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary indicator of the economy''s health. A stronger than expected number should be taken as positive for the RUB and a lower than expected number as negative to the RUB. This is the preliminary reading

The indicator shows the amount of capital flows that is directed to the country by foreign investors. Capital flows are essential for developing and emerging markets. They contribute to enhancing investments and financing current account deficits. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the BRL , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the BRL.

Interest Rate Projection for the 1st year is an economic calendar event in the United States that forecasts the interest rates for the upcoming year. It provides valuable insights into the future trends of the interest rates, which can impact various aspects of the economy, such as borrowing costs, investment decisions, and currency valuations.

This projection is closely monitored by investors, businesses, and policymakers to make well-informed financial decisions and assess the overall health of the economy. By considering various factors like inflation, economic growth, unemployment rates, and other economic indicators, the projection sets expectations for future interest rates and helps in anticipating how the Federal Reserve might adjust its monetary policy in response to these factors.

The Interest Rate Projection - 2nd Yr event is an economic indicator that provides insights into the expected direction of interest rates within the United States for the second year. This projection is a valuable tool for investors, businesses, and policymakers to make informed decisions based on the anticipated movement of interest rates.

The Federal Reserve plays a crucial role in determining the interest rates and managing monetary policy. Interest Rate Projections are essential for assessing the overall health of the economy, inflation, and unemployment rates. These projections aid decision-makers in planning their investments and strategies according to future economic conditions. A higher interest rate typically signals a stronger economy, while a lower rate may indicate economic weakness or uncertainty.

The Interest Rate Projection - Current is an economic calendar event for the United States that reflects the market's expectations for future central bank interest rate decisions. Economists, analysts, and market participants use these projections to assess the likely short-term direction of interest rates, which can impact borrowing costs, investment decisions, and financial market activity.

These projections are based on various factors, such as economic growth, inflation, and employment data, as well as global economic developments and geopolitical risks. The Interest Rate Projection - Current is an essential tool for understanding the potential monetary policy direction and its implications for businesses, investors, and consumers.

The Interest Rate Projection - Longer is an economic calendar event for the United States that represents the long-term forecasts for interest rates. This projection, made by central banking authorities like the Federal Reserve, helps market participants and analysts better anticipate future economic developments and monetary policy decisions. The longer-term interest rate forecasts typically cover a period of several years.

These projections can have significant implications for the economy, as interest rates impact borrowing costs, investment decisions, and the value of assets. For instance, higher long-term interest rates can result in increased costs for borrowers, while lower rates can stimulate economic growth through more accessible credit. As such, the Interest Rate Projection - Longer is an essential event to keep an eye on in order to understand both the overall economic outlook and the potential implications for various sectors and financial instruments.

Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members vote on where to set the rate. Traders watch interest rate changes closely as short term interest rates are the primary factor in currency valuation.

A higher than expected rate is positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected rate is negative/bearish for the USD.

The U.S. Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement is the primary tool the panel uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy. It contains the outcome of the vote on interest rates, discusses the economic outlook and offers clues on the outcome of future votes.

A more dovish than expected statement could be taken as negative/bearish for the USD, while a more hawkish than expected statement could be taken as positive/bullish for the USD.

This report includes the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) projection for inflation and economic growth over the next 2 years. An important part of the report is the breakdown of individual FOMC members' interest rate forecasts.

The FOMC Press Conference is a crucial event on the economic calendar for the United States. It is held by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and serves as a platform for the Chairman of the Federal Reserve to communicate their views on the current state of the economy, monetary policy, interest rates, and future expectations.

Different subjects discussed during the conference range from inflation, growth outlook, labor market conditions to global economic developments. These insights are vital for financial market participants, as they offer valuable information from the central bank, which in turn influences investment decisions and market reactions.

Analyzing the FOMC Press Conference is essential for traders and investors alike, as the information revealed during the conference can cause significant market movements and create opportunities for profit or potential risk. Keeping a close eye on the conference can provide valuable insights into the direction of monetary policy and its subsequent effects on the economy and financial markets.

The Westpac Consumer Sentiment Index measures the change in the level of consumer confidence in economic activity. On the index, a level above 100.0 indicates optimism, below indicates pessimism. The data is compiled from a survey of about 1,200 consumers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of past and future economic conditions.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the NZD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the NZD.

The Central Bank of Brazil's (BCB) Monetary Policy Committee votes on where to set the overnight interest rate. Traders watch interest rate changes closely as short term interest rates are the primary factor in currency valuation.

A higher than expected rate is positive/bullish for the BRL, while a lower than expected rate is negative/bearish for the BRL.

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the annualized change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy. It is the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary indicator of the economy's health.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the NZD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the NZD.

Total business activity comprises primary industries + goods producing industries + service industries. Includes unallocated taxes on production and imports, bank service charge and balancing items. Conceptually, both the production and expenditure-based GDP series are the same. However, as each series uses independent data and estimation techniques, some differences between the alternative measures arise. The expenditure-based series has historically shown more quarterly volatility and is more likely to be subject to timing and valuation problems. For these reasons, the production-based measure is the preferred measure for quarter-on-quarter and annual changes.

GDP measures summary value of goods and services generated in a relevant country or region. A region's gross domestic product, or GDP, is one of the ways for measuring the size of its economy. Production approach - The sum of the value added created through the production of goods and services within the economy. Calculation: GDP using the production approach is derived as the sum of gross value added for each industry plus taxes less subsidies on products.

GDP measures summary value of goods and services generated in a relevant country or region. A region's gross domestic product, or GDP, is one of the ways for measuring the size of its economy. Expenditure approach - Total expenditures on all finished goods and services produced within the economy. Calculation: GDP using the expenditure approach is derived as the sum of all final expenditures, changes in inventories and exports of goods and services less imports of goods and services.

Foreign Bonds Buying number measures the flow from the public sector excluding Bank of Japan. The Net data shows the difference of capital inflow and outflow. A positive difference indicates net sales of foreign securities by residents (capital inflow), and a negative difference indicates net purchases of foreign securities by residents (capital outflow). A higher than expected number should be taken as positive to the JPY, while a lower than expected number as negative.

Balance of payments is a set of accounts recording all economic transactions between the residents of the country and the rest of the world in a given period of time, usually one year. Payments into the country are called credits, payments out of the country are called debits. There are three main components of a balance of payments: - current account - capital account - financial account Either a surplus or a deficit can be shown in any of these components. Balance of payments shows strenghts and weaknesses in a country's economy and therefore helps to achieve balanced economic growth. The release of a balance of payments can have a significant effect on the exchange rate of a national currency against other currencies. It is also important to investors of domestic companies that depend on exports. Securities investment, contract basis. Securities investment refers to flows from the public sector excluding Bank of Japan. Bonds include beneficiary certificates but exclude all bills. The Net data shows the difference of capital inflow and outflow.

The official reserve assets are assets denominated in foreign currency, readily available to and controlled by monetary authorities for meeting balance of payments financing needs, intervening in exchange markets to affect the currency exchange rate, and for other related purposes (such as maintaining confidence in the currency and the economy, and serving as a basis for foreign borrowing). They present a very comprehensive picture on a monthly basis of stocks at market price, transactions, foreign exchange and market revaluations and other changes in volume.

Exports of goods and services consist of transactions in goods and services (sales, barter, gifts or grants) from residents to non-residents. A function of international trade whereby goods produced in one country are shipped to another country for future sale or trade. The sale of such goods addsto the producing nation's gross output. If used for trade, exports are exchangedfor other products or services. Exports are one of the oldest forms of economic transfer, and occur on a large scale between nations that have fewer restrictions on trade, such as tariffs or subsidies.

Imports of goods and services consist of transactions in goods and services (purchases, barter, gifts or grants) from non-residents to residents. A good or service brought into one country from another. Along with exports, imports form the backbone of international trade. The higher the value of imports entering a country, compared to the value of exports, the more negative that country's balance of trade becomes.

Trade balance is the net difference between exports and imports collected from the import/export entry forms of the Customs Department, which reveal both volume and value of imports and exports. In order for the trade balance to be consistent with the definition of balance of payments, statistical modifications have been made to exclude some customs items for the transactions carried out among the residents. Such items include: goods granted embassy privilege; goods with no change of ownership, e.g., goods sent for repair, temporary imported goods, sample goods, leased goods. Adjustments are as well made to include goods actually imported and exported but did not undergo customs declaration such as military goods, electrical appliances and commercial aircrafts.

The definition for an unemployed person is: Persons (16-65 years) who were available for work (except for temporary illness) but did not work during the survey week, and who made specific efforts to find a job within the previous 4 weeks by going to an employment agency, by applying directly to an employer, by answering a job ad, or being on a union or professional register. Centered 3-month moving average.The unemployed labour force is greater than the registered unemployed. This is because the figure includes people who are looking for work but who are not registered at the labour exchange (Centrum voor Werk en Inkomen). One major category among them is formed by the women re-entering the labour force. A higher than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the EUR , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the EUR.

The Average Earnings Index is an indicator of inflationary pressures emanating from the labour market. The effect of a higher or lower figure than expected can be both bullish or bearish.

The Average Earnings Index measures change in the price businesses and the government pay for labor, including bonuses. The Average Earnings figure gives us a good indication of personal income growth during the given month.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the GBP, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the GBP.

Claimant Count Change measures the change in the number of unemployed people in the U.K. during the reported month. A rising trend indicates weakness in the labor market, which has a trickle-down effect on consumer spending and economic growth.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the GBP, while lower than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the GBP.

Change in the number of employed people. Data represents the 3-month moving average compared to the same period a year earlier.

The Unemployment Rate measures the percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous three months.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the GBP, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the GBP.

The Trade Balance measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services over the reported period. A positive number indicates that more goods and services were exported than imported.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the CHF, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the CHF.

The Monetary Policy Committee votes on where to set the overnight interest rate. Traders watch interest rate changes closely as short term interest rates are the primary factor in currency valuation. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the PHP , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the PHP.

Swiss National Bank (SNB) governing board members come to a consensus on where to set the target range for the rate. Traders watch interest rate changes closely as short term interest rates are the primary factor in currency valuation.

A higher than expected rate is positive/bullish for the CHF, while a lower than expected rate is negative/bearish for the CHF.

The Deposit Facility Rate is a key monetary policy tool used by the central bank of Indonesia, Bank Indonesia, to control the money supply in the economy. This economic calendar event involves the announcement of the interest rate paid by the central bank to commercial banks for their overnight deposits.

Commercial banks deposit their excess reserves with Bank Indonesia, and they are compensated with an interest known as the Deposit Facility Rate. When the rate is adjusted higher, it incentivizes banks to place more of their excess reserves with the central bank, thus reducing the amount of money available in the economy. Conversely, when the rate is lowered, it discourages banks from depositing excess funds and encourages them to lend more, which stimulates economic activity.

Market participants closely monitor changes in the Deposit Facility Rate since the interest rate decisions can significantly impact the Indonesian Rupiah's exchange rate, inflation, and overall economic growth. Changes in the deposit facility rate can also influence the direction of other short-term interest rates in the country, which then impacts borrowing costs for both businesses and consumers.

The Lending Facility Rate event is an important economic calendar indicator in Indonesia that reflects the central bank's policy rate. The rate is set by the Bank of Indonesia and effectively represents the interest rate charged to commercial banks for borrowing funds from the central bank.

Decisions on the lending facility rate are determined after a careful analysis of various factors, including inflation, overall economic growth, and global market conditions. Financial institutions, investors, and businesses closely monitor this rate, as changes can significantly impact the economy.

A higher lending facility rate can lead to increased borrowing costs for commercial banks, which, in turn, can reduce the availability of credit for businesses and consumers, slowing down economic growth. Conversely, a lower rate can stimulate economic activity by making borrowing less expensive, thereby encouraging investment and spending.

The terms of a standardized loan are formally presented (usually in writing) to each party in the transaction before any money or property changes hands. If a lender requires any collateral, this will be stipulated in the loan documents as well. Most loans also have legal stipulations regarding the maximum amount of interest that can be charged, as well as other covenants such as the length of time before repayment is required. Loans can come from individuals, corporations, financial institutions and governments. They are a way to grow the overall money supply in an economy as well as open up competition, introduce new products and expand business operations. Loans are a primary source of revenue for many financial institutions such as banks, as well as some retailers through the use of credit facilities.

The Monetary Policy Committee votes on where to set the overnight interest rate. Traders watch interest rate changes closely as short term interest rates are the primary factor in currency valuation.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the IDR, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the IDR.

The SNB Monetary Policy Assessment is an important economic event in Switzerland. Conducted by the Swiss National Bank (SNB), this quarterly assessment provides crucial insights and opinions on the country's current monetary policies, as well as potential updates or changes in the policy framework.

During this assessment, the SNB's Governing Board reviews key economic indicators, including GDP growth, inflation rates, and employment, and considers the performance of these indicators from both a domestic and global perspective. The purpose of this analysis is to determine the suitability of current monetary policy measures and ensure their effectiveness in promoting and maintaining financial stability.

Market participants and investors carefully analyze the SNB Monetary Policy Assessment, as it can provide valuable information about the future direction of Swiss monetary policy. Changes to the policy framework, such as adjustments to interest rates or the exchange rate peg, can have a significant impact on the Swiss economy, financial markets, and the Swiss Franc's value relative to other currencies.

The Monetary Policy Committee votes on where to set the overnight interest rate. Traders watch interest rate changes closely as short term interest rates are the primary factor in currency valuation.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the TWD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the TWD.

The Norges Bank Monetary Policy Committee's decision on where to set the overnight deposit rate. Traders watch interest rate changes closely as short term interest rates are the primary factor in currency valuation.

A higher than expected rate is positive/bullish for the NOK, while a lower than expected rate is negative/bearish for the NOK.

The Current Account index measures the difference in value between exported and imported goods, services and interest payments during the reported month. The goods portion is the same as the monthly Trade Balance figure. Because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to pay for the exports the data can have a sizable affect on the EUR.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the EUR, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the EUR.

The Current Account index measures the difference in value between exported and imported goods, services and interest payments during the reported month. The goods portion is the same as the monthly Trade Balance figure. Because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to pay for the exports the data can have a sizable affect on the Euro.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the Euro, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the Euro.

M3 Money Supply measures the change in the total quantity of domestic currency in circulation and deposited in banks. An increasing supply of money leads to additional spending, which in turn leads to inflation.

Monetary aggregates, known also as "money supply", is the quantity of currency available within the economy to purchase goods and services. Depending on the degree of liquidity chosen to define an asset as money, various monetary aggregates are distinguished: M0, M1, M2, M3, M4, etc. Not all of them are used by every country. Note that methodology of calculating money supply varies between countries. M2 is a monetary aggregate that includes all physical currency circulating in the economy (banknotes and coins), operational deposits in central bank, money in current accounts, saving accounts, money market deposits and small certificates of deposit. Excess money supply growth potentially can cause inflation and generate fears that the government may tighten money growth by allowing the interest rates to rise which in turn, lowers future prices. M2 = Currency in circulation + demand deposits (private sector) + time and savings deposits (private sector).

The SNB Press Conference is an economic calendar event for Switzerland, where the Swiss National Bank (SNB) communicates its monetary policy decisions to the public. This conference typically occurs quarterly, following the release of the SNB's interest rate decision and monetary policy assessment.

During the press conference, the central bank provides insights into its economic outlook, inflation forecasts, and the factors influencing its policy decisions. Financial market participants closely follow the press conference as it can provide clues about future changes in monetary policy, interest rates, or potential interventions in the foreign exchange market.

Significant policy announcements or shifts in economic projections by the SNB can lead to fluctuations in the Swiss franc's exchange rate or affect the country's financial markets, making this event important for traders and investors focused on Swiss assets.

Construction output includes construction work done by enterprises with prevailing construction activity. Construction industry provides information on construction output and activity. Such information gives an insight into the supply on the housing and construction market.The construction industry is one of the first to go into a recession when the economy declines but also to recover as conditions improve. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the EUR , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the EUR.