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Economic Calendar
MBA - Mortgage Bankers Association of America. The Market Index covers all mortgage applications during the week. This includes all conventional and government applications, all fixed-rate mortgages (FRMs), all adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), whether for a purchase or to refinance.
MBA - Mortgage Bankers Association of America. The Refinance Index covers all mortgage applications to refinance an existing mortgage. It is the best overall gauge of mortgage refinancing activity. The Refinance Index includes conventional and government refinances, regardless of product (FRM or ARM) or coupon rate refinanced into or out of. Seasonal factors are less significant in refinances than in home sales, however holiday effects are considerable.
The Unemployment Rate measures the percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment. A higher than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the ILS , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the ILS.
GDP measures summary value of goods and services generated in a relevant country or region. A region's gross domestic product, or GDP, is one of the ways for measuring the size of its economy. Expenditure approach - Total expenditures on all finished goods and services produced within the economy. Calculation: GDP using the expenditure approach is derived as the sum of all final expenditures, changes in inventories and exports of goods and services less imports of goods and services. Market influence of GDP Unexpectedly high quarterly GDP growth is perceived to be potentially inflationary if the economy is close to full capacity; this, in turn, causes bond prices to drop and yields and interest rates to rise. Where the stock market is concerned on one side higher than expected growth leads to higher profits and that's good for the stock market.
GDP measures summary value of goods and services generated in a relevant country or region. A region's gross domestic product, or GDP, is one of the ways for measuring the size of its economy. Expenditure approach - Total expenditures on all finished goods and services produced within the economy. Calculation: GDP using the expenditure approach is derived as the sum of all final expenditures, changes in inventories and exports of goods and services less imports of goods and services. Market influence of GDP Unexpectedly high quarterly GDP growth is perceived to be potentially inflationary if the economy is close to full capacity; this, in turn, causes bond prices to drop and yields and interest rates to rise. Where the stock market is concerned on one side higher than expected growth leads to higher profits and that's good for the stock market.
The consumption expenditure of households consists of outlays which households make on new, durable and non-durable goods and services less net sales of second-hand goods and scraps. Purchases by households of consumer durable, such as furniture, radios and automobiles are all included in private consumption expenditure. Primary commodities produced for own-account consumption should always be included in gross output and in household consumption expenditure. Purchases of dwellings are not included, they are treated as fixed capital formation. The imputed rent of owner-occupied dwellings which is part of the gross output of the real estate industry, is included in final consumption expenditure of households. Direct purchases abroad by resident households and in the domestic market by non-resident households cover expenditures by diplomats, military personnel,tourists and seasonal workers who remain in foreign countries for periods less than one year. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the MXN , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the MXN.
The consumption expenditure of households consists of outlays which households make on new, durable and non-durable goods and services less net sales of second-hand goods and scraps. Purchases by households of consumer durable, such as furniture, radios and automobiles are all included in private consumption expenditure. Primary commodities produced for own-account consumption should always be included in gross output and in household consumption expenditure. Purchases of dwellings are not included, they are treated as fixed capital formation. The imputed rent of owner-occupied dwellings which is part of the gross output of the real estate industry, is included in final consumption expenditure of households. Direct purchases abroad by resident households and in the domestic market by non-resident households cover expenditures by diplomats, military personnel,tourists and seasonal workers who remain in foreign countries for periods less than one year. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the MXN , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the MXN.
Israeli M1 figure measeures the amount of money in circulation in notes, coin, current accounts, and deposit accounts transferable by cheque, Usually a higher than expected number would indicate inflationary pressure and the effect of that on the currency may go both ways.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the change in the price of goods and services from the perspective of the consumer. It is a key way to measure changes in purchasing trends.
The impact on the currency may go both ways, a rise in CPI may lead to a rise in interest rates and a rise in local currency, on the other hand, during recession, a rise in CPI may lead to a deepened recession and therefore a fall in local currency.
Building Permits is a report closely watched by economists and investors alike. Since all related factors associated with the construction of a building are important economic activities (for example, financing and employment), the building permit report can give a major hint as to the state of the economy in the near future. A higher than expected number should be taken as positive to the USD, while a lower than expected number as negative.
Building Permits measures the change in the number of new building permits issued by the government. Building permits are a key indicator of demand in the housing market.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
Housing Starts measures the change in the number of new constructions underway. The construction industry is one of the first to go into a recession when the economy declines but also to recover as conditions improve. A higher than expected number should be taken as positive to the USD, while a lower than expected number as negative
Housing starts measures the change in the annualized number of new residential buildings that began construction during the reported month. It is a leading indicator of strength in the housing sector.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
The Energy Information Administration's (EIA) Crude Oil Inventories measures the weekly change in the number of barrels of commercial crude oil held by US firms. The level of inventories influences the price of petroleum products, which can have an impact on inflation.
If the increase in crude inventories is more than expected, it implies weaker demand and is bearish for crude prices. The same can be said if a decline in inventories is less than expected.
If the increase in crude is less than expected, it implies greater demand and is bullish for crude prices. The same can be said if a decline in inventories is more than expected.
The EIA Refinery Crude Runs is an economic calendar event that focuses on the weekly report provided by the United States Energy Information Administration (EIA). This report features data on the total volume of crude oil processed within American refineries, also known as crude runs.
An increase in refinery crude runs could indicate higher demand for crude oil, which in turn corresponds to strong economic growth. On the other hand, a decrease in refinery crude runs may signal a possible decline in demand for crude oil or refining capacity, reflecting weakening economic activity. As a result, industry participants and market analysts pay close attention to this data, as it can significantly impact the crude oil market and provide insights into the overall health of the US economy.
Crude Oil Imports is an economic calendar event that highlights the change in the volume of imported crude oil into the United States. This information provides valuable insights into the overall health of the US energy sector and the nation's reliance on foreign oil supplies.
A positive change in the volume of crude oil imports indicates an increasing demand for oil, which could be driven by factors such as economic growth and rising industrial activity. Conversely, a decrease in crude oil imports may suggest a decline in demand or an increase in domestic oil production. This data can have a significant impact on the oil market and the value of the US dollar, as well as influencing the decisions of policymakers and investors.
Crude Oil Imports is typically monitored by energy market participants, economists, and policymakers, as it can provide useful insights into the dynamics of the energy market and potential shifts in global market trends. The data is released by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) on a weekly basis, and it is widely regarded as a key indicator of the US energy market's performance.
Change in the number of barrels of crude oil held in storage at the Cushing, Oklahoma during the past week. Storage levels at Cushing are important because it serves as the delivery point for the U.S. crude oil benchmark, West Texas Intermediate.
Distillate Fuel Production is an important economic indicator that provides insight into the overall energy production and demand in the United States. Distillate fuels, such as diesel and heating oil, are commonly used for a variety of purposes, including transportation, heating, and industrial processes. This data is closely monitored by both investors and policymakers as a measure of the health of the energy sector and the overall economy.
Increased distillate fuel production can result from rising demand due to economic growth, seasonal factors, or changes in energy policies. Conversely, decreased production can reflect weakening demand or supply disruptions. This indicator's fluctuations may impact the prices of distillate fuels, which in turn can affect consumer spending, inflation, and trade balances.
Distillate Fuel Production figures are typically released on a weekly basis by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), providing updated and relevant data for traders, investors, and businesses alike. Understanding the trends and patterns in this data can help inform decision-making processes and investment strategies.
The Energy Information Administration reports inventory levels of US crude oil, gasoline and distillates stocks. The figure shows how much oil and product is available in storage. The indicator gives an overview of US petroleum demand.
Gasoline Production is a significant economic calendar event that pertains to the United States. It indicates the volume of gasoline manufactured domestically on a weekly basis. The data is collected and published by the Energy Information Administration (EIA).
As gasoline is a key component in fueling the transportation sector, its production levels have a notable impact on energy prices, supply chains, and consequently, the overall economy. When gasoline production increases, it reflects positively on the industrial sector's performance and serves as an indicator of economic growth.
However, high gasoline production levels may also lead to an oversupply in the market, causing prices to drop. Investors and analysts track the Gasoline Production report to make informed decisions regarding the energy and transportation sectors' performance and predict the potential implications on the general economy.
Heating Oil Stockpiles is an economic calendar event that provides insights into the United States' current inventory levels of distillate fuel oil, which is primarily used for home heating purposes. These stockpiles are essentially reserves of heating oil that are stored, produced, and supplied to meet the country's demand during cold months and fluctuating market conditions.
Tracking heating oil stockpile trends can help investors gauge the overall health of the energy market and anticipate potential price fluctuations in heating oil. Significant changes in the stockpile levels may indicate disparities between supply and demand for the commodity, thus affecting its market price. These data can also provide valuable information about the performance and stability of refining companies, distributors, and other businesses within the oil and gas industry.
This economic calendar event is typically released by the United States Energy Information Administration (EIA) on a weekly basis. Investors, traders, and analysts closely monitor these data to formulate strategies and make informed decisions in the energy markets.
The EIA Weekly Refinery Utilization Rates is an important economic calendar event that provides valuable insights into the weekly performance of refineries in the United States. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) releases this report to measure the percentage of available refining capacity that is being utilized by refineries during the specified period.
These utilization rates are critical for market participants, policymakers, and analysts as they offer a clear picture of the state of the refinery sector. Changes in refinery utilization rates may indicate shifts in the overall energy market, including the demand and supply dynamics for crude oil, gasoline, and other petroleum products. Should the rates rise, it may signal increasing demand for fuel or strong economic activity, while declining rates can be a sign of weakening demand or economic slowdown.
Investors, traders and businesses typically use this information to help them make decisions and predictions about the energy market, oil prices, and the overall performance of the economy. Hence, the EIA Weekly Refinery Utilization Rates constitutes a highly significant economic calendar event for the United States.
Gasoline Inventories measures the change in the number of barrels of commercial gasoline held in inventory by commercial firms during the reported week. The data influences the price of gasoline products which affects inflation.
The data has no consistent effect, there are both inflationary and growth implications.
Measures the weighted-average price of 9 dairy products sold at auction every 2 weeks. It is viewed as a leading indicator of New Zealand's trade balance because rising commodity prices boost export income. The dairy industry is New Zealand's biggest export earner, accounting for more than 29% by value of the country's exports.
Measures the weighted-average price of 9 dairy products sold at auction every 2 weeks. It is viewed as a leading indicator of New Zealand's trade balance because rising commodity prices boost export income. The dairy industry is New Zealand's biggest export earner, accounting for more than 29% by value of the country's exports.
Philip R. Lane, member of the Executive Board of the European Central Bank, is set to speak. His speeches often contain indications on the future possible direction of monetary policy.
Bank of Canada (BOC) Governor Tiff Macklem (June 2020 - June 2027) will speak. As head of the BOC's Governing Council, which controls key short-term interest rates, Macklem has more influence over the Canadian dollar's value than any other person. Traders scrutinize his public engagements for clues regarding future monetary policy. His comments may determine a short-term positive or negative trend.
The figures displayed in the calendar represent the rate on the Treasury Bill auctioned.
U.S. Treasury Bills have maturities of a few days to one year. Governments issue treasuries to borrow money to cover the gap between the amount they receive in taxes and the amount they spend to refinance existing debt and/or to raise capital. The rate on a Treasury Bill represents the return an investor will receive by holding the bill for its entire duration. All bidders receive the same rate at the highest accepted bid.
Yield fluctuations should be monitored closely as an indicator of the government debt situation. Investors compare the average rate at auction to the rate at previous auctions of the same security.
The figures displayed in the calendar represent the rate on the Treasury Bill auctioned.U.S. Treasury Bills have maturities of a few days to one year. Governments issue treasuries to borrow money to cover the gap between the amount they receive in taxes and the amount they spend to refinance existing debt and/or to raise capital. The rate on a Treasury Bill represents the return an investor will receive by holding the bill for its entire duration. All bidders receive the same rate at the highest accepted bid. Yield fluctuations should be monitored closely as an indicator of the government debt situation. Investors compare the average rate at auction to the rate at previous auctions of the same security.
The Energy Information Administration (EIA) Natural Gas Storage report measures the change in the number of cubic feet of natural gas held in underground storage during the past week.
While this is a U.S. indicator it tends to have a greater impact on the Canadian dollar, due to Canada's sizable energy sector.
If the increase in natural gas inventories is more than expected, it implies weaker demand and is bearish for natural gas prices. The same can be said if a decline in inventories is less than expected.
If the increase in natural gas is less than expected, it implies greater demand and is bullish for natural gas prices. The same can be said if a decline in inventories is more than expected.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the annualized change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy. It is the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary indicator of the economy''s health. A stronger than expected number should be taken as positive for the RUB and a lower than expected number as negative to the RUB. This is the preliminary reading
Non-financial public sector (National administration, state-owned companies and former provincial pension funds). Cash basis.
The BOC Summary of Deliberations is a document released by the Bank of Canada (BoC) after each monetary policy meeting. It provides investors and analysts with an overview of the key points discussed during the meeting and the reasons behind the central bank's decisions.
The report is important for market participants as it offers valuable insights into the BoC's views on economic conditions, inflation, and other factors that may affect future monetary policy decisions. By analyzing these details, investors can better understand the likely direction of interest rate changes and the overall outlook for the Canadian economy.
It is worth noting that the BOC Summary of Deliberations is not a verbatim transcript of the meeting. Instead, it highlights the main points of discussion and may not cover all the topics that were addressed during the session. This makes the report a useful tool for gaining a general understanding of the central bank's thinking, but it should be used alongside other sources of information for a more comprehensive view of the Canadian economy and monetary policy.
The indicator shows the amount of capital flows that is directed to the country by foreign investors. Capital flows are essential for developing and emerging markets. They contribute to enhancing investments and financing current account deficits. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the BRL , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the BRL.
German Buba Balz Speaks is an economic calendar event that highlights a public speaking engagement or presentation made by a high-ranking official from the Bundesbank (Germany's central bank). During this event, the speaker typically shares insights and updates on the country's economy, inflation, monetary policy, and other key factors impacting Germany's financial landscape.
Investors and market participants pay close attention to these speeches as they may contain valuable information on the central bank's future monetary policy decisions, which can influence the German financial markets, the euro currency, and European bond markets. Any remarks made by the Buba Balz speaker could also serve as an indicator of the overall economic health and direction for Germany, Europe's largest economy.
German Buba Balz Speaks events should be monitored closely by those seeking to make informed decisions or gain an understanding of trends, changes, and developments within German and European financial markets.
Interest Rate Projection for the 1st year is an economic calendar event in the United States that forecasts the interest rates for the upcoming year. It provides valuable insights into the future trends of the interest rates, which can impact various aspects of the economy, such as borrowing costs, investment decisions, and currency valuations.
This projection is closely monitored by investors, businesses, and policymakers to make well-informed financial decisions and assess the overall health of the economy. By considering various factors like inflation, economic growth, unemployment rates, and other economic indicators, the projection sets expectations for future interest rates and helps in anticipating how the Federal Reserve might adjust its monetary policy in response to these factors.
The Interest Rate Projection - 2nd Yr event is an economic indicator that provides insights into the expected direction of interest rates within the United States for the second year. This projection is a valuable tool for investors, businesses, and policymakers to make informed decisions based on the anticipated movement of interest rates.
The Federal Reserve plays a crucial role in determining the interest rates and managing monetary policy. Interest Rate Projections are essential for assessing the overall health of the economy, inflation, and unemployment rates. These projections aid decision-makers in planning their investments and strategies according to future economic conditions. A higher interest rate typically signals a stronger economy, while a lower rate may indicate economic weakness or uncertainty.
The Interest Rate Projection - Current is an economic calendar event for the United States that reflects the market's expectations for future central bank interest rate decisions. Economists, analysts, and market participants use these projections to assess the likely short-term direction of interest rates, which can impact borrowing costs, investment decisions, and financial market activity.
These projections are based on various factors, such as economic growth, inflation, and employment data, as well as global economic developments and geopolitical risks. The Interest Rate Projection - Current is an essential tool for understanding the potential monetary policy direction and its implications for businesses, investors, and consumers.
The Interest Rate Projection - Longer is an economic calendar event for the United States that represents the long-term forecasts for interest rates. This projection, made by central banking authorities like the Federal Reserve, helps market participants and analysts better anticipate future economic developments and monetary policy decisions. The longer-term interest rate forecasts typically cover a period of several years.
These projections can have significant implications for the economy, as interest rates impact borrowing costs, investment decisions, and the value of assets. For instance, higher long-term interest rates can result in increased costs for borrowers, while lower rates can stimulate economic growth through more accessible credit. As such, the Interest Rate Projection - Longer is an essential event to keep an eye on in order to understand both the overall economic outlook and the potential implications for various sectors and financial instruments.
Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members vote on where to set the rate. Traders watch interest rate changes closely as short term interest rates are the primary factor in currency valuation.
A higher than expected rate is positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected rate is negative/bearish for the USD.
This report includes the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) projection for inflation and economic growth over the next 2 years. An important part of the report is the breakdown of individual FOMC members' interest rate forecasts.
The U.S. Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement is the primary tool the panel uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy. It contains the outcome of the vote on interest rates, discusses the economic outlook and offers clues on the outcome of future votes.
A more dovish than expected statement could be taken as negative/bearish for the USD, while a more hawkish than expected statement could be taken as positive/bullish for the USD.
Luis de Guindos, Vice-President of the European Central Bank, is set to speak. His speeches often contain indications on the future possible direction of monetary policy.
The FOMC Press Conference is a crucial event on the economic calendar for the United States. It is held by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and serves as a platform for the Chairman of the Federal Reserve to communicate their views on the current state of the economy, monetary policy, interest rates, and future expectations.
Different subjects discussed during the conference range from inflation, growth outlook, labor market conditions to global economic developments. These insights are vital for financial market participants, as they offer valuable information from the central bank, which in turn influences investment decisions and market reactions.
Analyzing the FOMC Press Conference is essential for traders and investors alike, as the information revealed during the conference can cause significant market movements and create opportunities for profit or potential risk. Keeping a close eye on the conference can provide valuable insights into the direction of monetary policy and its subsequent effects on the economy and financial markets.
Retail Sales measure the change in the total value of inflation-adjusted sales at the retail level. It is the foremost indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the ARS, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the ARS.
Net purchases of U.S treasury bonds & notes by major foreign sector. (Negative figures indicate net sales by foreigners to U.S residents or a net outflow of capital from the United States.) A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
This indicator shows the Sum of [(U.S. securities + Foreign stocks and bonds (Negative figures indicate net sales by foreigners to U.S residents or a net outflow of capital from the United States.) Minus estimated unrecorded principal repayments to foreigners on domestic corporate and agency asset-backed securities + estimated foreign acquisitions of U.S. equities through stock swaps - estimated U.S. acquisitions of foreign equities through stock swaps + increase in nonmarketable Treasury Bonds and Notes Issued to Official Institutions and Other Residents of Foreign Countries)+(monthly changes in banks' and broker/dealers' custody liabilities.)+(TIC, Change in Banks' Own Net Dollar- Denominated Liabilities)] TIC data cover most components of international financial flows, but do not include data on direct investment flows, which are collected and published by the Department of Commerce's Bureau of Economic Analysis. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
Treasury International Capital (TIC) Net Long-Term Transactions measures the difference in value between foreign long-term securities purchased by U.S. citizens and U.S. long-term securities purchased by foreign investors. Demand for domestic securities and currency demand are directly linked because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to purchase the nation's securities.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
TIC Net Long-Term Transactions number is the sum of gross purchases by foreigners from US residents minus gross sales by foreigners to US residents. The components used to calculate long term flows are US Treasury bonds and notes, US government agency bonds, US corporate bonds, US corporate stocks, foreign bonds and foreign stocks. (TIC signifies: Treasury International Capital Flows). A higher than expected number should be taken as positive to the USD, while a lower than expected number as negative.
The Central Bank of Brazil's (BCB) Monetary Policy Committee votes on where to set the overnight interest rate. Traders watch interest rate changes closely as short term interest rates are the primary factor in currency valuation.
A higher than expected rate is positive/bullish for the BRL, while a lower than expected rate is negative/bearish for the BRL.