Support levels: 1.0000, 0.9980, 0.9930
Resistance levels: 1.0212, 1.0290, 1.0380
On a 4-hour graph the USD/CAD is descending after it failed to break through the resistance level of 1.0212. If the downside movement extends, the pair is expected to bounce up near strong support level of 1.0000.
The uprising movement is confirmed by the fact that on a 4-hour chart the MACD divergence appeared. As it was mentioned before, if the USD/CAD breaks out 1.0290, this will lead to upside motion with the target to 1.0380. Further breakout of 1.0380 will denote the end of a rollback and that further advance should be expected. Moreover, the breakthrough of 1.0380 will point to the formation of “Triple Bottom”.
Nevertheless, the breakout of the support level near 0.9980-1.0000 will allow the pair to reach 0.9930.
In a midterm the currency pair will probably remain within the limits of its wide range between 1.0000 and 1.0750-1.0850. Nonetheless, in case the reversal takes place, then the breakout of 1.0680 will confirm that the consolidation ended and that the downtrend with 1.3063 is broken through. In this case it is expected that the USD/CAD will move upside to the Fibonacci correction level 38.2 from 1.3063 to 0.9929 at 1.1126 with the next target to the Fibonacci correction level 61.8 at 1.1866.