Dear colleagues.
For the EUR / USD pair, we expect the downward trend of May 14 after the breakdown of 1.1750. For the GBP / USD pair, the price has entered the equilibrium state. The level of 1.3565 is the key support for the downward structure from May 14. For the USD / CHF pair, the situation is in an equilibrium state. We expect the cancellation of the downward structure after the breakdown at 1.0042. For the USD / JPY pair, we follow the upward structure of May 4. For the EUR / JPY pair, the price is in an equilibrium state: the upward structure of May 8 and the downside potential of May 14. For the GBP / JPY pair, we follow the development of the upward structure of May 8.
Forecast for May 17:
Analytical review of currency pairs in the scale of H1:
For the EUR / USD pair, the key levels on the scale of H1 are: 1.1995, 1.1928, 1.1889, 1.1862, 1.1807, 1.1751, 1.1684 and 1.1640. Here, we continue to follow the downward structure of May 14. The continuation of the downward movement is expected after the breakdown of 1.1807. In this case, the target is 1.1751. The breakdown of this level, in turn, should be accompanied by a pronounced movement towards the level of 1.1684. Near this level is the consolidation of the price. The potential value for the bottom is the level of 1.1640. Upon reaching this level, we expect a rollback to the top.
Short-term upward movement is possible in the area of 1.1862 - 1.1889. The breakdown of the last value will lead to in-depth correction. Here, the target is 1.1928. This level is the key support for the downward structure from May 14.
The main trend is the local structure for the bottom of May 14.
Trading recommendations:
Buy: 1.1862 Take profit: 1.1887
Buy 1.1892 Take profit: 1.1925
Sell: 1.1805 Take profit: 1.1755
Sell: 1.1748 Take profit: 1.1688
For the GBP / USD pair, the key levels on the H1 scale are 1.3608, 1.3564, 1.3529, 1.3445, 1.3412, 1.3388, 1.3326 and 1.3285. Here, the price is still in the field of initial conditions for the downward movement of May 14. The continuation of the development of the downward structure is expected after the breakdown of 1.3445. In this case, the target is 1.3412. Near this level is the consolidation of the price. Passing the price of the noise range at 1.3412 - 1.3388 should be accompanied by a pronounced movement towards the level of 1.3326. The potential value for the bottom is the level of 1.3285. After reaching this level, we expect consolidation as well as a rollback to the top.
Consolidated movement is possible in the area of 1.3529 - 1.3564. The breakdown of the last value will lead to the formation of an upward structure. Here, the potential target is 1.3608.
The main trend is the formation of a local structure for the downward movement of May 14.
Trading recommendations:
Buy: Take profit:
Buy: 1.3565 Take profit: 1.3607
Sell: 1.3445 Take profit: 1.3412
Sell: 1.3386 Take profit: 1.3328
For the USD / CHF pair, the key levels on the scale of H1 are: 1.0083, 1.0067, 1.0042, 1.0022, 0.9993, 0.9979, 0.9955, 0.9933 and 0.9910. Here, the price is in an equilibrium state: the downward structure of May 10 and the formation of the potential for the top of May 14. The continuation of the development of the upward structure is expected after the breakdown of 1.0022. In this case, the target is 1.0042. Near this level is the consolidation of the price. The breakdown at 1.0042 will lead to the cancellation of the downward structure from May 10. In this case, the target is 1.0067. The potential value for the top is the level of 1.0083. After reaching this level, we expect a pullback downwards.
Short-term downward movement is possible in the area of 0.9993 - 0.9979. The breakdown of the last value will lead to the development of the downward structure from May 10. In this case, the first target is 0.9955.
The main trend is the equilibrium situation.
Trading recommendations:
Buy: 1.0022 Take profit: 1.0040
Buy: 1.0044 Take profit: 1.0065
Sell: 0.9991 Take profit: 0.9980
Sell: 0.9977 Take profit: 0.9960
For the USD / JPY, the key levels on a scale are: 111.38, 110.96, 110.66, 110.09, 109.87 and 109.55. Here, we follow the development of the upward structure of May 4. The continuation of the upward movement is expected after the breakdown of 110.66. In this case, the first target is 110.96. Near this level is the consolidation of the price. The potential value for the top is the level of 111.38. Upon reaching this level, we expect a pullback downwards.
Short-term downward movement is possible in the area of 110.09 - 109.87. The breakdown of the last value will lead to in-depth correction. Here, the target is 109.55. This level is the key support for the top.
The main trend is the upward structure of May 4.
Trading recommendations:
Buy: 110.66 Take profit: 110.94
Buy: 110.98 Take profit: 111.36
Sell: 110.09 Take profit: 109.90
Sell: 109.85 Take profit: 109.60
For the CAD / USD pair, the key H1 scale levels are: 1.2934, 1.2889, 1.2839, 1.2801, 1.2726 and 1.2660. Here, the continuation of the movement downwards is expected after the breakdown of 1.2726. In this case, the target is 1.2660. Up to this level, we expect the formulation of local initial conditions for the subsequent development of a downward trend.
Short-term upward movement is possible in the area of 1.2801 - 1.2839. The breakdown of the latter value will lead to the formation of an upward structure. In this case, the target is 1.2889. Capacity building for the top is expected to reach level 1.2934.
The main trend is the formation of a local structure from May 15.
Trading recommendations:
Buy: 1.2801 Take profit: 1.2837
Buy: 1.2841 Take profit: 1.2887
Sell: 1.2724 Take profit: 1.2665
Sell: Take profit:
For the AUD / USD pair, the key levels on the scale of H1 are: 0.7679, 0.7622, 0.7599, 0.7563, 0.7503, 0.7480, 0.7445, 0.7408 and 0.7359. Here, the resumption of the upward trend is expected after the breakdown of 0.7563. In this case, the first target is 0.7599. In the area of 0.7599 - 0.7622 is the consolidation of the price. The potential value for the top is the level of 0.7679. Upon reaching this level, we expect the consolidated movement as well as a possible pullback downwards.
Short-term downward movement is possible in the area of 0.7503 - 0.7480. The breakdown of the last value will lead to the development of the a downward trend. Here, the target is 0.7445. In the area of 0.7445 - 0.7408, we expect short-term downward movement. The potential value for the downward movement is the level of 0.7359. From this level, we expect a pullback to the top.
The main trend is the upward structure of May 9.
Trading recommendations:
Buy: 0.7563 Take profit: 0.7598
Buy: 0.7624 Take profit: 0.7676
Sell: 0.7503 Take profit: 0.7481
Sell: 0.7478 Take profit: 0.7447
For the of EUR / JPY pair, the key levels on the scale of H1 are: 132.26, 131.78, 131.40, 130.98, 129.61, 129.18, 128.85 and 128.15. Here, the price entered the equilibrium situation. The continuation of the traffic to the top is possible after the breakdown of 130.98. In this case, the first target is 131.40. In the area of 131.40 - 131.78 is the consolidation of the price. The potential value for the upward structure is, for the time being, the level of 132.26.
The development of the downward movement from May 14 is expected after the breakdown of 129.61. Here, the first target is 129.18. In the area of 129.18 - 128.85 is the consolidation of the price. The potential value for the bottom is the level 128.15. From this level, we expect a departure towards correction.
The main trend is the equilibrium situation which is the formation of the potential for the bottom of May 14.
Trading recommendations:
Buy: 131.00 Take profit: 131.40
Buy: 131.42 Take profit: 131.75
Sell: 129.60 Take profit: 129.20
Sell: 128.85 Take profit: 128.20
For the GBP / JPY pair, the key levels on the scale of H1 are: 151.36, 150.81, 150.01, 149.29, 148.35, 147.84, 147.00, 145.75 and 145.12. Here, we follow the formation of the upward structure from May 8 in correction from the downward structure. The continuation of the upward movement is expected after the breakdown at 149.30. In this case, the target is 150.01. Near this level is the consolidation of the price. The breakdown at the level of 150.01 should be accompanied by a pronounced upward movement. Here, the target is 150.81. In the area of 150.81 - 151.36 is the consolidation of the price.
Short-term downward movement is possible in the area of 148.35 - 147.84. The breakdown of the last value will lead to the development of the a downward structure. In this case, the target is 147.00. Near this level is the consolidation of the price. The breakdown of 147.00 should be accompanied by a pronounced movement towards the potential target of 145.75.
The main trend is the formation of the potential for the top of May 8.
Trading recommendations:
Buy: 149.30 Take profit: 150.00
Buy: 150.05 Take profit: 150.80
Sell: 148.35 Take profit: 147.85
Sell: 147.80 Take profit: 147.00
