Technical outlook:
The EUR/USD pair has finally reversed lower from the 1.2180/1.2200 zone as expected and discussed. It has managed to produce a perfect bearish Evening Star candlestick pattern on the daily chart, indicating a potential turn. Note that prices have fallen back into the sell zone of its resistance trend line, which is favorable to bears.
The pair is seen to be trading 100 pips lower around the 1.2175 level from its recent swing highs and is expected to continue dragging lower towards 1.1986 in the near term. Immediate price resistance is seen at 1.2181, followed by 1.2245; while support comes in around the 1.1986 level. A break there will confirm that bears are back in control and the trend has turned lower from here.
The EUR/USD pair has rallied through the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level of the entire drop between 1.2350 and 1.1704 earlier. The extensions are pointing towards 1.1300 at least and up to 1.0636, going forward. The counter trend rally seems to be complete and bears are now turning towards the larger downward trend.
Trading plan:
Remain short, stop @ 1.2350, target @ 1.1300
Good luck!
