The spot rate is currently testing the intermediate resistance of its medium-term bullish channel at 107.00. It seems that a decline was initiated. However, a break of these levels will free a large potential and reach the upper limit of its channel at 107.60.
Technical indicators provide buy signals and until the resistance is not broken the assumption of a decline is most likely. Bollinger bands have greatly tightened in recent days showing a decline in volatility and the imminence of a violent movement.
The spot rate is currently testing the intermediate resistance of its channel, we suggest 2 scenarios. The first one is the hypothesis of a decline where we recommend a sell on the level of 107.00 with the 1st objective at 106.40 and then at 106.20. A breakthrough of 107.20 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its resistance where we advise a “buy stop” which means to buy the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its resistance of 107.00 with the 1st objective at 107.60 and then at 107.80. A breakthrough of 106.80 will invalidate this scenario.
