EUR/USD
As expected, the euro was trading in a small range on Monday due to holidays in the UK and the US. The single currency ended the day at the opening price. The price consolidated under the trend line of the price channel on the euro's daily chart, but remained above the MACD indicator line. The euro should overcome the MACD line and work out the lower limit of the range 1.0767-1.0995, and overcome it either immediately or with a slight delay. The target of the decline is 1.0575.
A small convergence has formed on the four-hour chart on the Marlin oscillator, this may be a sign of continued price consolidation. The euro can be helped by today's data on consumer climate in Germany from GfK - the forecast for the June index is -19.1 against -23.4 in May.
Data on sales of new homes in the US for April will come out in the evening - a forecast of 492,000 against 627,000 in March. US consumer confidence is expected to rise from 86.9 to 87.1 in May. The growth is insignificant and therefore a breakthrough down may not take place today. To form a condition for a decrease, the price should be consolidated at a signal level of 1.0885
