The spot rate approaches the intermediate resistance of its medium-term bearish channel at 1.4950 suggesting a decline. However, a break of this level will allow it to reach the upper limit of its channel at 1.5110.
Technical indicators provide buy signals, but until the resistance is not broken the assumption of a decline is most likely. Bollinger bands have stabilized showing a more regular volatility.
The spot rate is currently testing the intermediate resistance of its channel, we suggest 2 scenarios. The first one is the hypothesis of a decline where we recommend a sell on the level of 1.4950 with the 1st objective at 1.4890 and then at 1.4870. A breakthrough of 1.4970 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its resistance where we advise a “buy stop” which means to buy the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its resistance of 1.4950 with the 1st objective at 1.5010 and then at 1.5030. A breakthrough of 1.4930 will invalidate this scenario.
