Technical outlook:
EURUSD dropped to the 1.0130 lows intraday on Friday before bouncing back towards 1.0170. The single currency pair is trading close to the 1.0180 level at this point in writing and is expected to drag towards the 1.0100 mark going forward. A push-through of the 1.0273 interim resistance will confirm that the price has hit a bottom and the bulls are back in control.
EURUSD has been preparing to produce a counter-trend rally towards the 1.0800-1.0900 zone in the medium term. Prices have been dropping from the 1.2350 high since January 06, 2021, and might have terminated a meaningful larger-degree downswing at 0.9952 recently. The potential target for a rally is close to the Fibonacci 0.382 retracement of the entire drop.
EURUSD bulls have been in control since the 0.9952 lows, pushing prices through 1.0273, which acts as interim resistance now. The recent upswing is being worked upon right now and its Fibonacci 0.618 retracement is seen through 1.0100. A drop towards that mark is expected to produce a bullish reversal and resume higher again.
Going forward:
EURUSD is now expected to remain in control of bulls and push towards 1.0900 in the medium term. The bottom line is that prices should stay above the 0.9952 mark to keep the above-proposed structure intact. The near-term target potential remains through the 1.0615 mark, which is the initial resistance on the daily chart.
Trading plan:
Potential rally towards 1.0620 and 1.0900
Good luck!
