The spot rate approaches the intermediate support of its medium term bullish channel at 130.20 suggesting a rebound. However, a break of these levels will free a large potential and reach the lower limit of its channel at 129.60.
Technical indicators provide sell signals but until the support is not broken the assumption of a rebound is most likely. Bollinger bands have greatly tightened in recent days showing a decline in volatility and the imminence of a violent movement.
The spot rate approaches the intermediate support of its channel - then we suggest 2 scenarios: The first one is the hypothesis of a rebound - then we recommend a buy on the level of 130.20 with the 1st objective at 130.80 and then at 131.00. A break through 130.00 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its support - then we recommend a “sell stop” that means to sell the spot rate as soon as it has broken through its support of 130.20 with the 1st objective at 129.60 and then at 129.40. A break through 130.40 will invalidate this scenario.
