EUR/USD, H4 timeframe:
The situation of the EUR/USD indicates that the market followed an alternative scenario. Earlier, it was assumed that the zigzag wave Y is not completed yet, but yesterday's strong upward movement made it clear that the bundle XX wave is already forming, consisting of three sub-waves [A], [B], and [C] which takes the form of a zigzag.
Special attention should be paid to the fact that wave [B], which is now being formed, has taken a triangle shape. Given the fact that both forming lines of this triangle are directed upwards, it can be concluded that this triangle is inclined since during its formation, the bulls shifted this pattern upward. This indicates their strength, which is why a powerful bullish impulse [C] can be expected after this triangle is completed.
According to the rules of wave analysis, Wave [C] will be completed where the development of the entire wave of the XX bundle is completed. The endpoint of this wave can be determined by the Fibonacci lines. Wave XX is likely to end at the 1.1599 level, from which its value will be 38.2% of the previous downward wave Y. Therefore, the price may rise to the specified level in the near future.
For today's news background, important data on the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits will be published in the US at 13:30 Universal time. At the same time, the PPI (Producer Price Index) will also be released. This news may encourage the price to move bullishly in wave [C] towards the target.
Trading recommendations:
It is possible to open long positions from the current level with a target at the expected completion point of wave XX, i.e., at the level of 1.1599.
