Green lines- Fibonacci retracements
The Dollar index ends the week on a positive note but way off its weekly highs. Price has so far retraced 38% of the entire upward move from 89 price level. The 38% Fibonacci retracement was our first pull back target and this is important support. A pause to the decline is expected. Even a bounce higher is expected. The RSI has turned lower but is still away from the oversold levels. A bounce higher is justified from the 38% retracement, but most probably we expect to see the index forming a lower high and then starting a new downward move. We believe that the corrective phase has only started and more downside should be expected.