Technical outlook:
The US dollar index dropped through the 101.11 lows on Thursday, re-testing its earlier swing low of January 18, 2023, before finding bids again. The index is seen to be trading close to 101.60 at this point in writing as the bulls prepare to come back in control. A push above the 102.50 short-term resistance will add further confidence to the bullish setup.
The US dollar index might have terminated its larger-degree drop just ahead of 101.00. The entire drop, which had begun from the 114.70 highs, should be retraced towards 106.50 up to 109.50 in the next several trading sessions. On the flip side, if the price consistently breaks below 101.00, it would continue further towards 100.00 and lower.
The US dollar index is facing strong resistance at 105.35 as marked on the daily chart here. A push-through will confirm and add further confidence in the bullish setup. The price is expected to produce a bearish reaction if they reach 109.50 since it is the Fibonacci 0.618 retracement of the entire drop between 114.70 and 101.11 respectively.
Trading idea:
Potential bullish rally against 100.00
Good luck!
