Overview of macro events for October 18
Industrial production growth in the United States accelerated to 5.33% from 3.9%, beating market expectations of 3.4%. In light of the strong results, the pound sterling and the euro showed a modest rise in value, while demand for the greenback increased among traders.
Analysis of trading charts for October 18
The number of long positions on EUR/USD decreased within the key level of 0.9850. Consequently, a slowdown in the uptrend led to a standstill/pullback.
During the course of the recent uptrend, GBP/USD approached 1.1410/1.1525 resistance. The price reached the barrier thrice. As a result, the trend slowed and a pullback occurred.
Macro events on October 19
Today, the United Kingdom saw the release of its inflation data during the European session. Consumer prices in the country rose to 10.1%.
In light of an increase in inflation, the Bank of England is likely to remain hawkish.
A similar report is due today in the eurozone. Should the final results not come in line with the preliminary estimates, this would trigger market jitters. In fact, the market is ready for a new rise in the reading as it has already priced in the flash data.
Trading plan for EUR/USD on October 19
Under current circumstances, it would be wiser to focus on the limits of the sideways channel, seen at 0.9810 and 0.9875. This range is passing exactly along the key level of 0.9850, which could indicate the accumulation process.
Consider buying the instrument after consolidation above 0.9885.
Short poisons could be opened after the price settles below 0.9800.
Trading plan for GBP/USD on October 19
There has been no signal to buy the pair so far, as the bulls are still feeling the pressure that comes from resistance. In order to extend the uptrend, the quote should settle above the 1.1410 mark. This would signal the possibility of a breakout through resistance. Consolidation above 1.1525 would confirm a breakout. Until then, the price may pull back.
Indicators on charts
A candlestick chart shows white and black bars with lines at the top and bottom. When analyzed in detail, each candlestick is different depending on a time frame: the opening and closing price as well as the maximum and minimum price.
Horizontal levels are levels of support and resistance that help traders determine when a trend is likely to change.
Circles and rectangles are highlighted examples where past reversals occurred. Such highlighting indicates horizontal lines that may exert some pressure on quotes in the future.
Up/down arrows show possible future price movements.
