Technical outlook:
EUR/USD has now dropped through the 1.0630-35 zone as projected on the 4H chart here. The Fibonacci 1.618 extension has been met as projected along with a bullish divergence on the RSI. The single currency pair is seen to be trading close to 1.0645 at this point in writing and is expected to produce a rally at least towards 1.0950 in the near term.
EUR/USD seems to have completed its first wave of the larger-degree corrective phase, which began from a 1.1275 high in July 2023. Also, note that prices have tested the Fibonacci 0.382 retracement of the earlier rally between 0.9535 and 1.1035 levels. A high probability remains for a corrective wave towards the 1.0850-1.0950 area before the last phase resumes.
EUR/USD could be preparing to resume its second wave of the three-wave corrective phase after hitting 1.0630 overnight. Traders might take profits on the short positions opened earlier and prepare to go long now. Immediate resistance is now seen at 1.0800 and a break higher will confirm that a bottom is in place.
Trading idea:
Take profits on short positions and prepare for a potential rally from here soon.
Good luck!
