USD/JPY is trading around 148.72, below the 21 SMA, and above 7/8 Murray. On the H-4 chart, we can see that the instrument is within a downward trend channel formed since October 3, but it is showing oversold signs. It is likely that there will be a technical rebound in the coming days and USD/JPY could approach the psychological level of 150.00 (8/8 Murray).
At the opening of negotiations this week, the Japanese yen left a bearish GAP around 149.25. This GAP is likely to be covered in the coming days, only if the Japanese yen breaks the bearish trend channel sharply and consolidates above 148.90.
On the other hand, if the USD/JPY pair fails to overcome the 148.85 area, we could expect a fall and the price could reach the 200 EMA located at 147.68.
The Japanese yen has also been a refuge asset for many years in case of increased risk aversion. Therefore, if geopolitical problems persist, it is likely that the yen will continue to fall. The key will be to watch for it to trade below 149.00, then it could reach 147.68 (200 EMA) and even 6/8 of Murray at 146.87.
The eagle indicator is giving a positive signal which could favor an increase in USD/JPY and the instrument could reach 149.50 and 150.00. On the other hand, if the Japanese yen falls below 148.43 (7/8 Murray), it could be seen as a clear signal to sell with the target at 147.68 (200 EMA).
