Analysis of transactions and tips for trading GBP/USD
The test of 1.2552 coincided with the time that the MACD line was already far from zero, so the downward potential was limited. No other market signal appeared for the rest of the day.
Pound performed excellently on Thursday, thanks to the better-than-expected Service PMI data from the UK. The good numbers maintained demand for the currency, which led to massive growth during the US session. The upward movement even extended to today's Asian session.
Ahead is data on Construction PMI from the UK. If it is as good as yesterday's reports, GBP/USD will continue growing even if it is already the end of the week. However, there is also labor market data from the US, where an increase in new jobs will strengthen dollar, and data on average hourly wages will affect US inflation. The speech of FOMC member Liza Cook will be of little interest.
For long positions:
Buy pound when the level of 1.2651 (green line on the chart) is reached and take profit at the price of 1.2651 (thicker green line on the chart). Growth could occur if there are good UK statistics and weak US labor market reports. However, before buying, make sure that the MACD line is above zero or is starting to rise from it. Pound can also be bought after two consecutive price tests of 1.2579, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2615 and 1.2651.
For short positions:
Sell pound when the level of 1.2579 (red line on the chart) is reached and take profit at the price of 1.2541. Pressure will return if the attempts to consolidate at the monthly highs fail. However, before selling, make sure that the MACD line is below zero or is starting to move down from it. Pound can also be sold after two consecutive price tests of 1.2615, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2579 and 1.2541.
What's on the chart:
Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy GBP/USD
Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.
Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell GBP/USD
Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.
MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market
Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.
And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.
