The test of 1.3012, coinciding with the drop of the MACD line from zero, prompted a sell signal that led to a price decrease of over 60 pips. Meanwhile, buying on the rebound from 1.2975 resulted in losses.
CPI in the UK dropped to from 8.7% to 7.9%, the first unexpected decline in five months and the largest since July 2021.
Upcoming data on the construction sector could put pressure on GBP/USD and provoke a correction, as a higher-than-expected number on the volume of issued building permits and number of new foundations laid in the US could trigger a sell-off.
For long positions:
Buy when pound hits 1.2937 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.2985 (thicker green line on the chart). Although strong growth may not be possible, traders could still buy as long as the MACD line lies above zero or rises from it.
Pound can also be bought after two consecutive price tests of 1.2903, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2937 and 1.2985.
For short positions:
Sell when pound reaches 1.2903 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.2870. Pressure will continue in the case of positive construction data in the US. However, when selling, make sure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it.
Pound can also be sold after two consecutive price tests of 1.2937, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2903 and 1.2870.
What's on the chart:
Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy GBP/USD
Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.
Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell GBP/USD
Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.
MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market
Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.
And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.
