Early in the European session, the euro is trading around 1.1070, below the 7/8 Murray line, and above the 21 SMA located at 1.1062.
Yesterday, the euro lost its bullish strength and failed to consolidate above 1.11. EUR/USD went through a technical correction due to rising US Treasury yields and the recovery of the US dollar.
EUR/USD reached a high of 1.1138, the same price last seen on July 26th, and then started a sharp pullback.
On the H4 chart, we can see that the Euro tried to break the top of the bullish trend channel without success on more than 4 occasions.
The technical correction seen a few days ago was imminent because a negative divergence has been observed on the technical chart since December 20. Given the low market liquidity and the holidays, the Euro gained upward movement and entered extremely overbought levels.
The main trend remains positive for the Euro. However, in case it falls and consolidates below 1.1060, we could expect a continuation of the downward movement and EUR/USD could reach the bottom of the uptrend channel around 1.1014. If this channel is broken, the instrument could reach 6/8 Murray at 1.0986 and could even reach the 200 EMA located at 1.0892.
The daily pivot point is around 1.1090. If the euro trades below this level in the coming hours, it will give us a negative outlook. In case EUR/USD falls below 1.1060, it will be viewed as a sell signal with targets at 1.1015 and 1.0986.
