Early in the American session the British pound is trading around 1.2692 above the 21 SMA and inside the downtrend channel formed since December 26. The British pound found strong support around 1.2612, this level coincided with the December 21 low as it also reached the bottom of the downtrend channel and since then we saw that there was a technical bounce.
According to the technical chart, we can observe that the British Pound has found a strong barrier around the top of the downtrend channel. In the coming hours, in case it continues to test and fails to break this channel, we could sell below 1.2710 with targets in the area of 1.2620 or the 200 EMA located at 1.2601.
If in the coming hours the British pound continues to decline and consolidates below 8/8 Murray and below the 21 SMA this could be seen as a bearish signal and we could sell with targets at 1.2650 and 1.2601 (200 EMA).
On the other hand, in case the British pound consolidates above 1.2740 we could expect it to continue rising and could be seen as a buy signal targets at +1/8 Murray located at 1.2817.
In view that the British pound is trading below a downtrend, the main strategy will be to sell if the price is below 1.2729, this level is the maximum reached until today, with targets at 7/8 Murray located at 1.2573.
