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FX.co ★ Analysis and trading tips for GBP/USD on August 4

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Forex Analysis:::2023-08-04T06:31:17

Analysis and trading tips for GBP/USD on August 4

Analysis of transactions and tips for trading GBP/USD

The test of 1.2681, coinciding with the rise of the MACD line from zero, prompted a buy signal in the pair. This, along with the decision of the Bank of England to raise interest rates and comments from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, led to a price increase of over 40 pips.

PMI data for the UK construction sector lies ahead, followed by a speech from Bank of England MPC member Huw Pill, who may talk about the bank's commitment to a tight policy. Most likely, the two will result in the further strengthening of pound.

Analysis and trading tips for GBP/USD on August 4

For long positions:

Buy when pound hits 1.2740 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.2790 (thicker green line on the chart). Growth will occur after aggressive statements from the Bank of England regarding future policy. However, when buying, ensure that the MACD line lies above zero or rises from it.

Pound can also be bought after two consecutive price tests of 1.2705, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2740 and 1.2790.

For short positions:

Sell when pound reaches 1.2705 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.2656. Pressure will increase in the absence of activity at daily highs before the release of the US labor market report. However, when selling, ensure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it.

Pound can also be sold after two consecutive price tests of 1.2740, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2705 and 1.2656.

Analysis and trading tips for GBP/USD on August 4

What's on the chart:

Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy GBP/USD

Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.

Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell GBP/USD

Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.

MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market

Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.

And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.

Analyst InstaForex
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