Early in the American session, the British pound is trading around 1.2642, below the 200 EMA, below the 21 SMA, and within a downtrend channel forming since December 27. During the last few hours, the British pound made a strong bearish acceleration and is now showing signs of a further bearish movement. GBP/USD may fall towards the bottom of the bearish trend channel and around 7/8 Murray at 1.2573.
On the other hand, in case GBP consolidates above the 200 EMA located at 1.2655, we could expect a recovery. GBP/USD could reach 8/8 Murray at 1.2695 and finally, it could reach the 21 SMA located at 1.2730.
The market sentiment report shows that there are 54.22% of traders who are buying GBP/USD. According to our contrary strategy, we expect the pound to continue falling in the coming days and we could take advantage of any technical rebound to resume selling.
Since January 12, the eagle indicator has been giving a negative signal. GBP/USD may continue falling in the next few hours until it reaches a key support area located at 1.2570. A further break below this zone could accelerate the bearish move and the instrument could reach the psychological level of 1.25.
Given that the British Pound is under bearish pressure, any technical rebound as it trades below 1.2770 - 1.2810 will be seen as a signal to sell. The eagle indicator is giving a negative signal which supports our bearish strategy.
