Analysis of transactions and tips for trading USD/JPY
The test of 145.88 on Thursday afternoon, coinciding with the decline of the MACD line from zero, prompted a sell signal that led to a price decrease of around 40 pips.
Japan's manufacturing PMI data remained below 50 points, indicating a contraction in activity. However, this did not lead to the weakening of yen, as it depends entirely on data related to employment in the non-agricultural sector and the unemployment rate in the US. A sharp reduction in employment will likely result in the fall of dollar and rise of yen, while a better-than-expected number, together with the US ISM manufacturing index returning above 50 points, will cause a rise in USD/JPY.
For long positions:
Buy when the price hits 145.72 (green line on the chart) and take profit at 146.12. Growth will occur after strong US labor market statistics. However, when buying, ensure that the MACD line lies above zero or just starts to rise from it.
Also consider buying USD/JPY after two consecutive price tests of 145.39, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 145.72 and 146.12.
For short positions:
Sell when the price reaches 145.39 (red line on the chart) and take profit at 145.00. Pressure will continue in the event of poor US data. However, when selling, traders must ensure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it.
Also consider selling USD/JPY after two consecutive price tests of 145.72, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 145.39 and 145.00.
What's on the chart:
Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy USD/JPY
Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.
Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell USD/JPY
Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.
MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market
Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.
And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.
