Analysis of transactions and tips for trading GBP/USD
Further decline became limited because the test of 1.2631 took place at a time when the MACD line fell sharply from zero. Sometime later, the pair rose to 1.2665, but several unsuccessful attempts to break out of this level provided a suitable setup to sell, leading to a return to 1.2631.
Disappointing UK labor market data put pressure on pound. Meanwhile, statements made by Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey had no impact on the market direction.
Pound may continue to decline today if core inflation in the UK demonstrates a stronger-than-expected fall. But if consumer prices show growth, a rebound will occur.
For long positions:
Buy when pound hits 1.2643 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.2680 (thicker green line on the chart). Growth will occur only after news of rising inflationary pressure.
When buying, ensure that the MACD line lies above zero or just starts to rise from it. Pound can also be bought after two consecutive price tests of 1.2611, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2643 and 1.2680.
For short positions:
Sell when pound reaches 1.2611 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.2577. Pressure will increase if inflation in the UK eases.
When selling, ensure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it. Pound can also be sold after two consecutive price tests of 1.2643, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2611 and 1.2577.
What's on the chart:
Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy GBP/USD
Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.
Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell GBP/USD
Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.
MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market
Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.
And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.
