Analysis of transactions and tips for trading USD/JPY
The test of 147.62, coinciding with the decline of the MACD line from zero, provoked a sell signal. However, it did not lead to a price decrease, as strong US data immediately reversed the market. Shortly after, a test of 147.88 occurred, during which the MACD just started moving up from zero, leading to a buy signal. This resulted in a price increase of over 30 pips, which offset the losses from earlier,
Japan's CPI data fell more than expected. Meanwhile, market players completely ignored the released minutes of the Bank of Japan's meeting on monetary policy. Pressure on dollar may return today due to the empty macroeconomic calendar and overbought conditions of USD/JPY.
For long positions:
Buy when the price hits 148.14 (green line on the chart) and take profit at 148.55. Growth will occur after traders defend the daily lows.
When buying, ensure that the MACD line lies above zero or rises from it. Also consider buying USD/JPY after two consecutive price tests of 147.80, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 148.14 and 148.55.
For short positions:
Sell when the price reaches 147.80 (red line on the chart) and take profit at 147.34. Pressure will return in the case of a failed attempt to break out of the daily high.
When selling, ensure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it. Also consider selling USD/JPY after two consecutive price tests of 148.14, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 147.80 and 147.34.
What's on the chart:
Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy USD/JPY
Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.
Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell USD/JPY
Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.
MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market
Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.
And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.
