Analysis of transactions and tips for trading EUR/USD
Further growth became limited because the test of 1.0725 occurred during the sharp rise of the MACD line from zero. In addition, the soft rhetoric of ECB members Luis de Guindos and Joachim Nagel weakened euro's positions, although the empty macroeconomic calendar in the US allowed bulls to become active at the weekly lows in the afternoon.
Today, there will be a report on trade balance in the eurozone, followed by speeches from ECB President Christine Lagarde and ECB Executive Board member Philip Lane. Lagarde may shed light on current events and her vision of the interest rate situation, but, to be fair, it will unlikely contain anything new, so the movement of euro could be unpredictable.
For long positions:
Buy when euro hits 1.0736 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0775. Growth will occur only with very positive statistics for the eurozone and a firm position of ECB representatives.
When buying, make sure that the MACD line lies above zero or rises from it. Euro can also be bought after two consecutive price tests of 1.0714, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0736 and 1.0775.
For short positions:
Sell when euro reaches 1.0714 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0685. Pressure will increase amid very weak economic data.
When selling, make sure that the MACD line lies under zero or drops down from it. Euro can also be sold after two consecutive price tests of 1.0736, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0714 and 1.0685.
What's on the chart:
Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy EUR/USD
Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.
Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell EUR/USD
Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.
MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market
Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.
And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.
