Early in the American session, gold is trading around 3,122, above the 21 SMA, and within the symmetrical triangle pattern formed from its all-time high at 3,149.
Recent trading suggests that gold is preparing for the most important event of this week: the US nonfarm payrolls, due for release on Friday. We believe this report could favor gold, and the price could reach 3,169 and even +1/8 Murray around 3,203.
Gold is awaiting the official announcement from the US president regarding reciprocal tariffs. This uncertainty is benefiting gold. We believe the instrument could consolidate above the 21 SMA in the coming hours.
The symmetrical triangle pattern observed on the H4 chart shows that gold could experience a strong bullish impulse to reach 3,169, where resistance R_1 is located. Below this area, a technical correction could occur.
Another scenario could be that gold breaks and consolidates below the symmetrical triangle and below the 21SMA around 3,111. Then, the target is seen at the bottom of the uptrend channel around 3,075.
Our trading plan for the coming hours is to sell gold in case of a pullback towards 3,140 or sell if the gold price falls below 3,111, with a target at 3,075.
