Early in the American session, gold is trading around 3,074, testing the strength of the downtrend channel and reaching the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, with a strongly bullish bias and consecutive gains of more than $100 in a single day.
If a sharp breakout of the downtrend channel occurs and the gold price consolidates above the 61.8% Fibonacci level located around 3,085, the bullish outlook could favor gold. We could expect the instrument to reach the 8/8 Murray level at 3,125 and ultimately its high of 3,164.
Our trading plan for the coming hours is to sell gold below 3,075 or, if it reaches the 61.8% Fibonacci level around 3,085, with targets at the 21SMA located at 3,024.
Technically, gold has been oversold since yesterday, so this rebound over the last few hours represents a technical correction. Therefore, we believe there could be consolidation below 3,085 in the coming days.
