EUR/USD is trading around 1.1287 after attempting to break the top of the downtrend channel. The instrument is now consolidating around the 21 SMA, which suggests it could continue its fall in the coming days.
The euro could rebound around 1.1286, as this area has held significant support since late April. If the euro consolidates above this level, we could expect it to reach 1.1367 again, which will be seen as a buying opportunity.
Conversely, if it falls below 1.1280, we could expect it to quickly reach the Murray 6/8 level at 1.1230. EUR/USD could even fill the gap around 1.1159 it left on May 16.
Our outlook for the euro remains negative, so we will look for shorting opportunities below 1.1360 with short-term targets around the psychological level of 1.1000.
