On Tuesday, the British pound rose by 27 pips, closing the day below the 1.2708 resistance level after briefly breaching it during the session. Today, the pound starts slightly weakening as the balance line reinforces the reached level. Today's focus will be on the Federal Reserve's decision to lower rates by 0.25%, with consideration for the Bank of England's expected decision to maintain rates tomorrow.
From a purely technical standpoint, the pound has all the conditions for a potential move into the 1.2816/47 range, even as a false breakout against the market trend, with a subsequent return below the 1.2616 level if the market adopts a downward direction. However, the current sentiment for the pound appears slightly bearish, as the Marlin oscillator hints at a reversal.
On the H4 chart, the price did not manage to break above the balance line resistance. There was no consolidation above the 1.2708 level. Marlin is moving in tandem with the price. Without breaking the reversal setup, the price may test the MACD line resistance at 1.2750. A break above the MACD line would open the target range of 1.2816/47.
