As the new trading week begins, bearish traders are actively working to break out of the consolidation zone and distance themselves from the influence of the monthly level at 329.98. To achieve this, they must push the price below the recent low of 272.32, which would reestablish the downward trend. If successful, the next bearish targets will be within the range of the weekly downward targets for breaking through the Ichimoku cloud, specifically between 210.79 and 154.37.
During the consolidation phase, the market lingered around the 329.98 level for an extended period, where the daily short-term trend and the final level of the monthly Ichimoku cross converged. However, these levels have now separated. If market sentiment shifts, bullish players will need to regain their position. This entails overcoming not only the monthly resistance at 329.98 but also the resistances of the daily "death cross," which are currently located at 305.95, 338.33, 358.72, and 379.11.
On lower timeframes, bears currently hold the upper hand, driving the downtrend. The only untested and unbroken support level for them remains the final support of the classic Pivot levels at S3, which is at 266.66. If the decline halts and bullish activity returns to the market, the main targets for a corrective rebound will be the key levels on lower timeframes, specifically at 311.68 (the central daily Pivot level) and 318.69 (the weekly long-term trend). A breakout and reversal of this trend could significantly alter the current balance of power in the market.
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Technical Analysis Components:
- Higher Timeframes: Ichimoku Kinko Hyo (9.26.52) and Fibonacci Kijun levels
- H1: Classic Pivot Points and 120-period Moving Average (weekly long-term trend)
